UFC · resolved market
Rodriguez vs. Robertson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xade2e9d15c3d32e6eced8c81ab9ca85bb75ca19800f18baa9661439b0a35236c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robertsonof Rodriguez, Robertson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Robertson | 70c | 14,957$10,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.17 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Rodriguez | 30c | 14,900$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Robertson | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Rodriguez | 31c | 5,973$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rodriguez | 28c | 2,676$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.22 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Robertson | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Rodriguez | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Robertson | 71c | 1,313$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.36 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rodriguez | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Robertson | 72c | 883.47$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Robertson | 72c | 868.06$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Robertson | 71c | 589.12$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Rodriguez | 26c | 547.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Robertson | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rodriguez | 29c | 480$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rodriguez | 28c | 456$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Robertson | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rodriguez | 28c | 381.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Robertson | 71c | 331.79$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Rodriguez | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rodriguez | 28c | 291.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Robertson | 72c | 277.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Rodriguez | 28c | 277.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Rodriguez | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rodriguez | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Robertson | 70c | 154.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Rodriguez | 28c | 139.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…5606backed Rodriguez | 30c | 129.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Rodriguez | 30c | 128.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…4462backed Rodriguez | 31c | 127.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rodriguez | 31c | 103$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Robertson | 69c | 103$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Rodriguez | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rodriguez | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Robertson | 71c | 74.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Rodriguez | 26c | 73.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Robertson | 74c | 72.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Rodriguez | 30c | 66.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Rodriguez | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Robertson | 74c | 61.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…c5c9backed Rodriguez | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…bea1backed Rodriguez | 28c | 54.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Robertson | 73c | 53.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…14b2backed Rodriguez | 30c | 50.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Rodriguez | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Robertson | 72c | 43.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…7551backed Robertson | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…ebd1backed Robertson | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Robertson | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Robertson | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfe…78fdbacked Robertson | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Robertson | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rodriguez vs. Robertsonthis page
- Bolanos vs. LeLe won
- Jackson vs. MarcosJackson won
- Loder vs. BekoevBekoev won
- Miller vs. PetrovićMiller won
- Petersen vs. MayesPetersen won
- Ponzinibbio vs. RodriguezRodriguez won
- Sandhagen vs. FigueiredoSandhagen won
- Santos vs. TateSantos won
- Smotherman vs. Sidey Sidey won
- Stephens vs. JonesJones won
- de Ridder vs. Nickalde Ridder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.