UFC · resolved market

Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x358e0e8edffd0e07425355ffb4115b8b6adf6cd24c2263c2f40197b0630781e0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sandhagenof Sandhagen, Figueiredo
Resolved: May 4, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $274,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $305,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,037 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Figueiredo	20c	63,519$12,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,685.35	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Sandhagen	80c	44,444$35,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,888.8	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Figueiredo	19c	32,000$6,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,080	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Figueiredo	18c	10,334$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,860.09	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Figueiredo	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe658…072bbacked Figueiredo	20c	8,234$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.94	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Figueiredo	18c	5,556$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Figueiredo	18c	4,599$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.25	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Figueiredo	17c	4,553$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.81	141	29.8%42 W · 99 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Figueiredo	16c	4,200$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Figueiredo	18c	4,085$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.36	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa78d…e8cbbacked Figueiredo	2c	3,449$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	12cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Figueiredo	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Figueiredo	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Figueiredo	10c	1,813$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.78	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae43…8194backed Figueiredo	19c	1,237$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.03	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Figueiredo	21c	1,180$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.62	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Figueiredo	20c	1,043$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.6	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9b…a65ebacked Figueiredo	20c	1,000$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.62	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Figueiredo	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	101	2%2 W · 99 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Figueiredo	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…3600backed Figueiredo	19c	958.74$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.16	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7dd…1e23backed Figueiredo	6c	914.89$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.89	105	29.5%31 W · 74 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Figueiredo	16c	911.27$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.87	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6acc…a608backed Figueiredo	20c	750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ce…d77dbacked Figueiredo	20c	705.87$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x095f…41b7backed Figueiredo	23c	646.22$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.63	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Figueiredo	19c	630$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.1	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Figueiredo	18c	600$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Sandhagen	79c	530.61$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.19	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked Figueiredo	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df6…4462backed Figueiredo	20c	506.71$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Figueiredo	9c	506.31$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.26	115	40%46 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Figueiredo	15c	502.42$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.93	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Figueiredo	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	30.8%24 W · 54 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Figueiredo	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Sandhagen	80c	487.5$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6d…f343backed Figueiredo	21c	446.44$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.55	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Figueiredo	19c	442.11$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Figueiredo	14c	431.37$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Figueiredo	20c	380.85$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.17	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Figueiredo	22c	347.77$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.51	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Sandhagen	80c	318.23$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.91	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Figueiredo	13c	316.17$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.91	181	41.4%75 W · 106 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Figueiredo	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Figueiredo	18c	299.98$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Figueiredo	19c	299.96$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.99	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Figueiredo	19c	269.4$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.19	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Sandhagen	79c	267.06$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.08	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5037…a863backed Figueiredo	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Figueiredo	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6532…e7c1backed Figueiredo	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Figueiredo	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb724…fff6backed Figueiredo	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x421e…bc7fbacked Figueiredo	19c	210.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Figueiredo	18c	201.22$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.22	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Sandhagen	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Figueiredo	20c	199.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Figueiredo	20c	184.84$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.62	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Figueiredo	16c	155.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.04	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ff4…161bbacked Figueiredo	26c	152.81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Figueiredo	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bac…ad22backed Figueiredo	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6579…23ddbacked Figueiredo	16c	141.61$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.38	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed Figueiredo	21c	139.59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	65	60%39 W · 26 L	+7.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ff2…2602backed Figueiredo	19c	130$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c79…15dbbacked Figueiredo	20c	114.55$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29dc…bf90backed Figueiredo	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…9101backed Figueiredo	20c	110$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Figueiredo	20c	109.9$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x147e…429ebacked Figueiredo	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9789…21d1backed Figueiredo	30c	105.08$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.16	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Figueiredo	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	130	41.5%54 W · 76 L	-9.1wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb21…8145backed Sandhagen	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked Figueiredo	20c	99.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0a…2bbdbacked Figueiredo	20c	96.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.29	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…757dbacked Figueiredo	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cec…abb3backed Figueiredo	27c	92.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Figueiredo	17c	81.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked Sandhagen	80c	80$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9f…92aabacked Figueiredo	18c	79.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0365…3c34backed Figueiredo	19c	78.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	40cpaid	-83.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3a0…5f55backed Figueiredo	26c	77.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.23per pick	31cpaid	+78.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Sandhagen	79c	76.15$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.99	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c4…c82cbacked Figueiredo	28c	72.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ae…2324backed Figueiredo	19c	67.37$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sandhagen	78c	60.77$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.37	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Sandhagen	74c	59.98$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa9…fc2bbacked Figueiredo	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…5951backed Figueiredo	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34c8…4c9fbacked Figueiredo	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7258…4fb7backed Figueiredo	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af3…75ebbacked Figueiredo	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3585…1cd9backed Sandhagen	78c	22.73$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Sandhagen	52c	20.31$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	169	55.6%94 W · 75 L	+23.8wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc859…391fbacked Sandhagen	79c	20.04$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.21	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	47cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sandhagen vs. Figueiredothis page
Bolanos vs. LeLe won
Jackson vs. MarcosJackson won
Loder vs. BekoevBekoev won
Miller vs. PetrovićMiller won
Petersen vs. MayesPetersen won
Ponzinibbio vs. RodriguezRodriguez won
Rodriguez vs. RobertsonRobertson won
Santos vs. TateSantos won
Smotherman vs. Sidey Sidey won
Stephens vs. JonesJones won
de Ridder vs. Nickalde Ridder won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event