UFC · resolved market
Ponzinibbio vs. Rodriguez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf157d814550f604083fd82512d9af06800cae2270384cd2402663d51dff85762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodriguezof Ponzinibbio, Rodriguez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $404,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x516c…7082backed Ponzinibbio | 53c | 40,218$21,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,315.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…805dbacked Rodriguez | 47c | 40,218$18,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,315.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…7ec5backed Rodriguez | 47c | 33,239$15,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,616.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…8953backed Ponzinibbio | 53c | 33,239$17,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,616.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0132…dfdabacked Ponzinibbio | 55c | 31,744$17,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,459.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…e3c1backed Rodriguez | 45c | 31,744$14,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,459.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…4cbcbacked Rodriguez | 55c | 31,276$17,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,074.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2c…20c3backed Ponzinibbio | 45c | 31,276$14,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,074.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…0a04backed Ponzinibbio | 46c | 28,460$13,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,091.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…dd9cbacked Rodriguez | 54c | 28,460$15,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,091.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ponzinibbio | 56c | 23,746$13,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,357.24 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rodriguez | 43c | 16,334$7,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,310.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rodriguez | 45c | 4,671$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.76 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ponzinibbio | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Rodriguez | 40c | 2,968$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.57 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Ponzinibbio | 57c | 2,266$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Rodriguez | 48c | 2,091$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.55 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Rodriguez | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rodriguez | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Rodriguez | 42c | 1,872$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…5606backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 1,612$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Rodriguez | 41c | 1,551$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.11 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rodriguez | 40c | 1,497$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.42 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…b5b5backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 1,424$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rodriguez | 56c | 1,405$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.54 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Ponzinibbio | 55c | 1,388$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.46 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Ponzinibbio | 56c | 1,378$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rodriguez | 43c | 1,273$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.05 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Ponzinibbio | 51c | 1,251$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.11 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ponzinibbio | 58c | 1,153$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.28 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Ponzinibbio | 58c | 1,144$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Ponzinibbio | 57c | 1,049$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Ponzinibbio | 57c | 1,027$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.56 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Rodriguez | 44c | 1,027$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.13 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Ponzinibbio | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Ponzinibbio | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rodriguez | 42c | 982.03$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Ponzinibbio | 54c | 913.3$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.7 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Ponzinibbio | 60c | 836.73$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…77f5backed Rodriguez | 41c | 763.57$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Ponzinibbio | 53c | 757.76$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.61 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…6b62backed Ponzinibbio | 58c | 737.93$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Rodriguez | 42c | 736.28$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff9…6d29backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 622.03$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…896abacked Rodriguez | 43c | 618.6$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rodriguez | 45c | 590.65$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.82 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Ponzinibbio | 52c | 577.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…5546backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 517.56$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…e7a9backed Rodriguez | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…e1e4backed Rodriguez | 45c | 511.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Ponzinibbio | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Rodriguez | 43c | 464.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…05debacked Rodriguez | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rodriguez | 42c | 433.33$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.33 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Rodriguez | 47c | 407.13$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.94 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Rodriguez | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 376$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Ponzinibbio | 56c | 363.55$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Rodriguez | 46c | 349$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…4462backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 337.29$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…c440backed Rodriguez | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Ponzinibbio | 57c | 330$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Rodriguez | 41c | 296$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Rodriguez | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed Rodriguez | 42c | 277$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Rodriguez | 58c | 270$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…40e1backed Rodriguez | 43c | 258.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…9940backed Rodriguez | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Rodriguez | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Rodriguez | 45c | 248.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Ponzinibbio | 60c | 233.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7565…da11backed Rodriguez | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Ponzinibbio | 58c | 226.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…d11cbacked Rodriguez | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Rodriguez | 43c | 208$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Ponzinibbio | 58c | 207$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Rodriguez | 41c | 204$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Ponzinibbio | 53c | 200.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rodriguez | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked Rodriguez | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Ponzinibbio | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Rodriguez | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Ponzinibbio | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ponzinibbio | 57c | 186.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Ponzinibbio | 52c | 175$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…a41bbacked Ponzinibbio | 58c | 168$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Rodriguez | 43c | 157$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Rodriguez | 41c | 156.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3330…1573backed Ponzinibbio | 58c | 155$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Ponzinibbio | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…2c06backed Rodriguez | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Ponzinibbio | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Rodriguez | 48c | 137$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Rodriguez | 59c | 126.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ponzinibbio | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed27…14cbbacked Rodriguez | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Rodriguez | 42c | 103.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ponzinibbio vs. Rodriguezthis page
- Bolanos vs. LeLe won
- Jackson vs. MarcosJackson won
- Loder vs. BekoevBekoev won
- Miller vs. PetrovićMiller won
- Petersen vs. MayesPetersen won
- Rodriguez vs. RobertsonRobertson won
- Sandhagen vs. FigueiredoSandhagen won
- Santos vs. TateSantos won
- Smotherman vs. Sidey Sidey won
- Stephens vs. JonesJones won
- de Ridder vs. Nickalde Ridder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.