TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ff2…2602

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: College Football, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT6336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.8
UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriaultbacked Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$79.2
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$158.4
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.2
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.6
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.6
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limabacked Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$158.6
UFC 317: Hermansson vs. Rodriguesbacked Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$41.05
UFC 317: Amil vs. Delgadobacked Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$61.6
UFC 317: Araujo vs. Cortezbacked Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.4
UFC 317: McKinney vs. Borshchevbacked Borshchev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
UFC 317: Price vs. Smith backed Price · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.09
UFC 317: Diniz vs. Hines backed Hines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.9
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.4
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.98
Sandhagen vs. Figueiredobacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.7
de Ridder vs. Nickalbacked Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.4
Machado Garry vs. Pratesbacked Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$100
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.79
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$39
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+47.1%+$21.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+75.4%+$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.