UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGhee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a9795e6a87e78539e3334dce934cc71758417c97a8f00a513e5927323d7ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yanof Yan, McGhee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yan | 76c | 17,315$13,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.83 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked McGhee | 24c | 14,190$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.36 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed McGhee | 25c | 12,436$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.41 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Yan | 76c | 12,000$9,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.98 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed McGhee | 23c | 11,100$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed McGhee | 23c | 10,895$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed McGhee | 24c | 10,507$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yan | 76c | 10,000$7,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.8 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked Yan | 78c | 8,485$6,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked McGhee | 10c | 6,936$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.86 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed McGhee | 26c | 6,743$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.18 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yan | 75c | 6,009$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.14 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yan | 74c | 5,430$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.99 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed McGhee | 23c | 5,414$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed McGhee | 23c | 4,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…1a34backed Yan | 76c | 4,100$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed McGhee | 25c | 4,074$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.29 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…d3c7backed McGhee | 24c | 3,878$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed McGhee | 18c | 3,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked McGhee | 21c | 2,990$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.52 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yan | 76c | 2,672$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.67 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Yan | 76c | 2,642$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.5 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yan | 74c | 2,592$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked McGhee | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed McGhee | 23c | 2,363$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yan | 77c | 2,175$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Yan | 76c | 2,028$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.6 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yan | 78c | 2,022$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.54 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Yan | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed McGhee | 24c | 1,871$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.61 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +9.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yan | 77c | 1,818$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.14 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed McGhee | 23c | 1,817$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked McGhee | 6c | 1,717$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed McGhee | 15c | 1,666$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed McGhee | 22c | 1,650$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed McGhee | 24c | 1,610$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.27 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed McGhee | 21c | 1,470$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.3 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked McGhee | 24c | 1,453$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yan | 76c | 1,307$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked McGhee | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed McGhee | 15c | 1,250$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Yan | 78c | 1,195$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.48 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Yan | 77c | 1,065$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed McGhee | 23c | 1,053$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.96 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yan | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Yan | 73c | 1,000$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Yan | 76c | 1,000$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Yan | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…22abbacked Yan | 74c | 956.76$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked McGhee | 23c | 949.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.9 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yan | 78c | 900$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yan | 77c | 881.16$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked McGhee | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed McGhee | 24c | 830$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yan | 78c | 802.81$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yan | 77c | 799.99$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Yan | 76c | 742.45$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.45 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Yan | 77c | 727.6$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.35 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Yan | 80c | 697.96$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked McGhee | 23c | 665.89$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked McGhee | 31c | 649.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Yan | 77c | 637.82$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Yan | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed McGhee | 7c | 549.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Yan | 78c | 549.3$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed McGhee | 26c | 546.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed McGhee | 23c | 539.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Yan | 78c | 514.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed McGhee | 23c | 513.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed McGhee | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Yan | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked McGhee | 21c | 500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yan | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked McGhee | 22c | 460.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed McGhee | 23c | 456.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yan | 77c | 440$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yan | 74c | 403.85$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed McGhee | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed McGhee | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…5effbacked Yan | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yan | 76c | 323.15$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 77cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yan | 77c | 304.93$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed McGhee | 25c | 302.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed McGhee | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked McGhee | 20c | 294.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yan | 74c | 275.12$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yan | 76c | 262.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed McGhee | 16c | 259.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…badebacked Yan | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…a87cbacked McGhee | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed McGhee | 22c | 209$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yan | 79c | 205$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked McGhee | 24c | 204.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ca81backed McGhee | 25c | 200.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed McGhee | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yan | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed McGhee | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39de…71f3backed Yan | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed McGhee | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked McGhee | 25c | 197.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheethis page
- UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. OchoaAlmabayev won
- UFC Fight Night: Aslan vs. ElekanaElekana won
- UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. BuchechaBuday won
- UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. BlackshearGrant won
- UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. GuskovGuskov won
- UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. BarriaultMagomedov won
- UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. NurmagomedovMitchell won
- UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. RicciRicci won
- UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. LealSalikhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderde Ridder won
- UFC Fight Night: Yahya vs. NguyenNguyen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.