UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. Buchecha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41d4294164620c12bbdadb760a8cae95453e8d6be74b8307f57761aeef88ee2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Budayof Buday, Buchecha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Buchecha | 71c | 17,780$12,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,593.89 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Buday | 32c | 9,418$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,365.78 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Buday | 28c | 8,036$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,745.71 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Buday | 30c | 7,401$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.23 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Buday | 29c | 5,338$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…0321backed Buchecha | 70c | 5,048$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Buchecha | 75c | 5,000$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.51 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Buday | 59c | 4,366$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.69 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Buchecha | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Buchecha | 68c | 2,975$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.37 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Buchecha | 58c | 2,925$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.64 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Buchecha | 62c | 2,922$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.2 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Buchecha | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buchecha | 68c | 2,442$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Buday | 30c | 1,952$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Buday | 29c | 1,909$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Buday | 25c | 1,796$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Buday | 27c | 1,483$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.16 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Buday | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Buchecha | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Buchecha | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Buday | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Buchecha | 71c | 1,013$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Buday | 25c | 1,002$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Buday | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Buchecha | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Buday | 30c | 993.33$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Buday | 29c | 993.28$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.05 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Buday | 30c | 936$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Buday | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Buday | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Buday | 30c | 746.9$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.83 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Buchecha | 73c | 699.94$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.96 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Buday | 25c | 617.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 37cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Buday | 79c | 523.55$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Buday | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Buchecha | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Buday | 29c | 405$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.55 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Buchecha | 37c | 403.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…245fbacked Buchecha | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Buday | 25c | 370.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.24 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Buday | 57c | 369.57$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Buday | 71c | 355$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Buday | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Buday | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Buday | 54c | 275$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.41 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Buchecha | 55c | 259$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Buchecha | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Buday | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Buchecha | 74c | 190$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…edb9backed Buchecha | 57c | 175.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Buday | 30c | 172.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Buday | 49c | 164.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Buday | 52c | 154.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Buday | 28c | 152.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…92b7backed Buchecha | 38c | 152.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Buchecha | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Buday | 29c | 141.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Buchecha | 71c | 141.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Buchecha | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Buchecha | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Buchecha | 50c | 127.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Buday | 49c | 108.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Buchecha | 69c | 103$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Buday | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Buday | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Buchecha | 71c | 92.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Buchecha | 29c | 91.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked Buday | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Buday | 67c | 86.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Buchecha | 29c | 78.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Buchecha | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Buday | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Buday | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Buday | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Buday | 28c | 56.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +129%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Buday | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Buday | 55c | 53.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Buday | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Buchecha | 29c | 51.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Buchecha | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Buchecha | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Buday | 26c | 47.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Buchecha | 70c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd3…9e40backed Buday | 72c | 41.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…dd68backed Buday | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…a87cbacked Buday | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Buchecha | 72c | 40.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Buchecha | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…f1c9backed Buday | 72c | 30.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Buchecha | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Buday | 59c | 28.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Buday | 51c | 28.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…ef28backed Buchecha | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…8626backed Buchecha | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dc…1a45backed Buday | 43c | 25.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…0d06backed Buchecha | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Buday | 55c | 24.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Buday | 59c | 23.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Buchecha | 71c | 16.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. Buchechathis page
- UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. OchoaAlmabayev won
- UFC Fight Night: Aslan vs. ElekanaElekana won
- UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. BlackshearGrant won
- UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. GuskovGuskov won
- UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. BarriaultMagomedov won
- UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. NurmagomedovMitchell won
- UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. RicciRicci won
- UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. LealSalikhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderde Ridder won
- UFC Fight Night: Yahya vs. NguyenNguyen won
- UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheeYan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.