TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. Buchecha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Budayof Buday, Buchecha
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Buchecha71c17,780$12,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,593.8935253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Buday32c9,418$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,365.786051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Buday28c8,036$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,745.7112541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Buday30c7,401$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.235147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Buday29c5,338$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.981435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de3…0321backed Buchecha70c5,048$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Buchecha75c5,000$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,748.5116951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Buday59c4,366$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.693655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Buchecha71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1304742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Buchecha68c2,975$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.3713650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Buchecha58c2,925$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.646050%30 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Buchecha62c2,922$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.210443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked Buchecha71c2,500$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7751361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buchecha68c2,442$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67318453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Buday30c1,952$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.172147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Buday29c1,909$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Buday25c1,796$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3473831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Buday27c1,483$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.1635826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Buday29c1,400$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Buchecha17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.92619.8%6 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Buchecha17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.925012%6 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+272.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Buday30c1,167$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Buchecha71c1,013$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Buday25c1,002$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.472142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Buday25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7504665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Buchecha70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Buday30c993.33$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Buday29c993.28$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.056031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Buday30c936$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.27343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Buday29c800$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5688256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Buday29c800$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5686829.4%20 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Buday30c746.9$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.836533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Buchecha73c699.94$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.9612159.5%72 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Buday25c617.33$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick37cpaid+104.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Buday79c523.55$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2621554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Buday25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37522144.3%98 W · 123 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Buchecha74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37017850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Buday29c405$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5536745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc559…ac69backed Buchecha37c403.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x992e…245fbacked Buchecha75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Buday25c370.98$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.244161%25 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Buday57c369.57$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.748544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Buday71c355$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4153956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Buday30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3335539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Buday26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22228743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Buday54c275$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4118145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Buchecha55c259$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.336547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Buchecha70c250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17548749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Buday26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14824847.2%117 W · 131 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Buchecha74c190$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.613160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bfc…edb9backed Buchecha57c175.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Buday30c172.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.848851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Buday49c164.64$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9415839.2%62 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Buday52c154.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5322334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Buday28c152.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9711545.2%52 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1feb…92b7backed Buchecha38c152.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.521752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Buchecha45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6833948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Buday29c141.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2433253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Buchecha71c141.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2431855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Buchecha71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006462.5%40 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x465e…bf90backed Buchecha75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Buchecha50c127.62$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.747147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Buday49c108.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.424946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Buchecha69c103$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.079062.2%56 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Buday25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7514827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e5…1d48backed Buday27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7311057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Buchecha71c92.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5816851.8%87 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Buchecha29c91.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.963946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfee…64bbbacked Buday29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.216040%24 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Buday67c86.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.396731.3%21 W · 46 L-9.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Buchecha29c78.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7519230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Buchecha28c72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1613450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Buday30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.676243.5%27 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Buday31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.523655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Buday31c64.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.514355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+45.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Buday28c56.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+129%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Buday30c56.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6710956%61 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Buday55c53.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0911942.9%51 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Buday63c52.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.382330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked Buchecha29c51.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.912352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe89e…bb74backed Buchecha29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-67.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7c0a…643abacked Buchecha29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Buday26c47.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.236633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1f…94aabacked Buchecha70c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd3…9e40backed Buday72c41.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.862832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeedf…dd68backed Buday29c41.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5916…a87cbacked Buday49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Buchecha72c40.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0622342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Buchecha72c35.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.715945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…f1c9backed Buday72c30.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.582475%18 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Buchecha52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Buday59c28.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.863933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Buday51c28.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc907…ef28backed Buchecha72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-65.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x749e…8626backed Buchecha72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207859%46 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71dc…1a45backed Buday43c25.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.65887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.43per pick44cpaid+102.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x83ce…0d06backed Buchecha40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6837…15e1backed Buday55c24.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+134.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Buday59c23.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.716354%34 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Buchecha71c16.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213647.8%65 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.