UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Guskov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd1cfa6969c0d178b21b3c12b858af02f7a5826b72de8988fc1ca23b6bcdfba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guskovof Krylov, Guskov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Guskov | 45c | 15,484$6,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,535.39 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Krylov | 62c | 13,050$8,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,059.35 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Krylov | 63c | 8,000$5,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,051.67 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Krylov | 62c | 7,095$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.61 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Guskov | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Krylov | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Krylov | 62c | 3,350$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.85 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Guskov | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.46 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Krylov | 9c | 2,666$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Guskov | 41c | 2,520$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Krylov | 65c | 2,520$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Guskov | 37c | 2,503$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Guskov | 36c | 2,444$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.26 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Krylov | 11c | 2,180$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Guskov | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +9.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Krylov | 62c | 1,987$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.19 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Guskov | 37c | 1,700$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Guskov | 37c | 1,595$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Guskov | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Guskov | 36c | 1,288$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Krylov | 64c | 1,250$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Guskov | 38c | 1,200$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Guskov | 39c | 1,128$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.09 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Guskov | 37c | 1,055$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.75 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Guskov | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Krylov | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Krylov | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Krylov | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Guskov | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Guskov | 35c | 896.58$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Guskov | 37c | 866.28$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.92 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guskov | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Krylov | 64c | 810$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.2 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Guskov | 40c | 757.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.88 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Krylov | 64c | 750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Krylov | 65c | 688.32$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Krylov | 62c | 687.95$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.53 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Krylov | 64c | 675$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…1a34backed Krylov | 62c | 674.98$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Guskov | 36c | 666$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Krylov | 62c | 663.03$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.38 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Guskov | 40c | 535.48$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.22 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Guskov | 62c | 510.11$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.84 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Guskov | 36c | 500$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Guskov | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…245fbacked Krylov | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Krylov | 65c | 449.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.49 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Guskov | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Krylov | 64c | 383.53$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.15 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guskov | 35c | 347.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Guskov | 35c | 335.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.05 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Guskov | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Guskov | 38c | 290$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d9…2eabbacked Guskov | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Krylov | 61c | 274.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Guskov | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Guskov | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Guskov | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Guskov | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Krylov | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Krylov | 66c | 226$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Guskov | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Krylov | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Guskov | 38c | 188.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Guskov | 37c | 175.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Krylov | 64c | 175.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Krylov | 60c | 174.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Guskov | 39c | 166.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Guskov | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Guskov | 39c | 151.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Krylov | 63c | 140.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Guskov | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guskov | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Guskov | 37c | 129.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Krylov | 63c | 123$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Krylov | 62c | 117.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…8812backed Guskov | 37c | 101.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Krylov | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Guskov | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Guskov | 36c | 99.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Krylov | 64c | 99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Guskov | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Guskov | 35c | 89.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Guskov | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Krylov | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Krylov | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Krylov | 65c | 71.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Guskov | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…b493backed Guskov | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Krylov | 64c | 62.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Guskov | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Guskov | 38c | 55.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…a252backed Krylov | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…7397backed Guskov | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Guskov | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Guskov | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Guskov | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6649…3e3cbacked Guskov | 37c | 53.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Guskov | 38c | 52.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae7…64a5backed Guskov | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Guskovthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. OchoaAlmabayev won
- UFC Fight Night: Aslan vs. ElekanaElekana won
- UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. BuchechaBuday won
- UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. BlackshearGrant won
- UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. BarriaultMagomedov won
- UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. NurmagomedovMitchell won
- UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. RicciRicci won
- UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. LealSalikhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderde Ridder won
- UFC Fight Night: Yahya vs. NguyenNguyen won
- UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheeYan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.