TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Guskov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guskovof Krylov, Guskov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce77…35d5backed Guskov45c15,484$6,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,535.396051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Krylov62c13,050$8,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,059.3510443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Krylov63c8,000$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,051.6713453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Krylov62c7,095$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.6112262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Guskov38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10016951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Krylov63c3,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.995147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Krylov62c3,350$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.856841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Guskov38c3,333$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.4611140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Krylov9c2,666$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.94342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-73.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Guskov41c2,520$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.362343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Krylov65c2,520$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6381136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Guskov37c2,503$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.791172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+123.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Guskov36c2,444$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.267841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Krylov11c2,180$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8339.1%3 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+291.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Guskov37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2603275%24 W · 8 L+9.5wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+84.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Krylov62c1,987$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.1918453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Guskov37c1,700$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07139959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Guskov37c1,595$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Guskov37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94535826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Guskov36c1,288$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.111936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Krylov64c1,250$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9953956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Guskov38c1,200$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74225251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Guskov39c1,128$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.096645.5%30 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Guskov37c1,055$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.7551533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Guskov37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6307451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Krylov61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6103933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Krylov64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6408751.7%45 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Krylov62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Guskov37c999.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63017850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Guskov35c896.58$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.742352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Guskov37c866.28$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.926547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guskov37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.813458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Krylov64c810$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.236745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Guskov40c757.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.8829848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked Krylov64c750$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Krylov65c688.32$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Krylov62c687.95$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5335253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Krylov64c675$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4323043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…1a34backed Krylov62c674.98$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Guskov36c666$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.246943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Krylov62c663.03$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.3831855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Guskov40c535.48$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.2220954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Guskov62c510.11$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8428043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Guskov36c500$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32110045%45 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Guskov35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3254161%25 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x992e…245fbacked Krylov63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Krylov65c449.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.496829.4%20 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Guskov37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25211545.2%52 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Krylov64c383.53$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.158851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guskov35c347.32$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7637152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Guskov35c335.46$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.057147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f5…7049backed Guskov38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1862142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Guskov38c290$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.828743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d9…2eabbacked Guskov36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Krylov61c274.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7414144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021a…56cbbacked Guskov37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x465e…bf90backed Guskov38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.163638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Guskov38c260$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.27745.5%35 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Guskov37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.58640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Krylov63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.55446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Krylov66c226$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.792924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Guskov38c199.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12412159.5%72 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Krylov61c199.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf058…e173backed Guskov38c188.42$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8213465.7%88 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked Guskov37c175.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.672352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Krylov64c175.56$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.366552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Krylov60c174.51$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7121554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed Guskov39c166.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.672470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+81.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Guskov39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8532431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Guskov39c151.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3113160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Krylov63c140.86$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.742653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Guskov37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.143655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Guskov38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5811138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Guskov37c129.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3952252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Krylov63c123$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.492352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Krylov62c117.88$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.086746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b5f…8812backed Guskov37c101.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.832347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Krylov64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6433948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Guskov38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.976650%33 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Guskov36c99.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.66633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Krylov64c99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.369062.2%56 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Guskov37c94.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.593636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Guskov35c89.29$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.046354%34 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Guskov37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0816058.8%94 W · 66 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Krylov64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Krylov65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Krylov65c71.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610956%61 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Guskov37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5715848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x290e…b493backed Guskov36c63.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Krylov64c62.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Guskov37c62.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1624649.6%122 W · 124 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe523…f087backed Guskov38c55.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6919152.9%101 W · 90 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1cd…a252backed Krylov64c54.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x659c…7397backed Guskov37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Guskov37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.056243.5%27 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Guskov37c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0213450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Guskov37c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.024355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+45.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6649…3e3cbacked Guskov37c53.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Guskov38c52.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.841485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ae7…64a5backed Guskov38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.