UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0167f0836bc0bab099685a37527e19f8f31047df0bfab00e01747ef0f42bd96c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mitchellof Mitchell, Nurmagomedov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mitchell | 58c | 68,840$39,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,943.84 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Nurmagomedov | 42c | 60,550$25,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,412.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Mitchell | 57c | 19,947$11,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,577.33 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nurmagomedov | 43c | 19,013$8,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,105.44 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nurmagomedov | 44c | 16,084$7,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,034.93 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 10,019$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.25 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Mitchell | 56c | 9,000$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.74 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mitchell | 58c | 6,338$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.17 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Mitchell | 30c | 5,500$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.4 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nurmagomedov | 69c | 5,494$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.23 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mitchell | 58c | 5,000$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…0321backed Mitchell | 57c | 4,482$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Mitchell | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Mitchell | 57c | 3,896$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Nurmagomedov | 23c | 3,731$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.8 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mitchell | 56c | 3,429$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.89 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nurmagomedov | 45c | 3,171$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.37 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Mitchell | 59c | 3,051$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.03 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 2,681$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.83 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Mitchell | 59c | 2,546$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Nurmagomedov | 41c | 2,290$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Mitchell | 59c | 2,100$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Nurmagomedov | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Mitchell | 57c | 1,650$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.49 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nurmagomedov | 42c | 1,569$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.48 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Nurmagomedov | 42c | 1,560$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.9 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mitchell | 55c | 1,541$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.81 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Nurmagomedov | 44c | 1,510$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.8 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Mitchell | 14c | 1,428$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.08 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 1,279$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Mitchell | 50c | 1,255$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.6 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…393cbacked Nurmagomedov | 43c | 1,207$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3b95backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 1,100$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 1,022$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.43 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Nurmagomedov | 42c | 1,004$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mitchell | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Nurmagomedov | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Mitchell | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…6b85backed Nurmagomedov | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Nurmagomedov | 42c | 1,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Nurmagomedov | 43c | 993.02$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Nurmagomedov | 46c | 939.9$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Nurmagomedov | 43c | 820.16$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.67 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Nurmagomedov | 43c | 799.98$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Nurmagomedov | 42c | 624.36$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…27bebacked Nurmagomedov | 22c | 616.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Mitchell | 74c | 609.56$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Mitchell | 55c | 574.9$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.71 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 550$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 529.65$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Mitchell | 57c | 524.77$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.91 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mitchell | 60c | 503.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Mitchell | 56c | 500.33$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Mitchell | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…8194backed Nurmagomedov | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d99…4ca3backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Nurmagomedov | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…161bbacked Nurmagomedov | 43c | 479.07$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…06f3backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 442.8$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Nurmagomedov | 46c | 436.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Mitchell | 56c | 405.18$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 400.44$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4af…c998backed Mitchell | 59c | 395.67$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…49c5backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…4ad6backed Nurmagomedov | 42c | 335.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed Mitchell | 61c | 326.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Mitchell | 58c | 320$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Nurmagomedov | 42c | 300.64$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Mitchell | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Mitchell | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Mitchell | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Nurmagomedov | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Mitchell | 51c | 285.71$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +9.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Mitchell | 60c | 272.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Mitchell | 56c | 266.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 265.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 245.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Mitchell | 59c | 245.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Mitchell | 59c | 243.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Nurmagomedov | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Nurmagomedov | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…d905backed Nurmagomedov | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Nurmagomedov | 43c | 232$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mitchell | 57c | 224.32$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…2722backed Mitchell | 59c | 220$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mitchell | 54c | 212.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…831cbacked Nurmagomedov | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Mitchell | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nurmagomedov | 41c | 199.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Mitchell | 54c | 196.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…d13cbacked Mitchell | 57c | 196.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mitchell | 54c | 193.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Mitchell | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Mitchell | 44c | 190$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nurmagomedov | 43c | 187.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Mitchell | 50c | 181.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…858cbacked Mitchell | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. OchoaAlmabayev won
- UFC Fight Night: Aslan vs. ElekanaElekana won
- UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. BuchechaBuday won
- UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. BlackshearGrant won
- UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. GuskovGuskov won
- UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. BarriaultMagomedov won
- UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. RicciRicci won
- UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. LealSalikhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderde Ridder won
- UFC Fight Night: Yahya vs. NguyenNguyen won
- UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheeYan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.