TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriault

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magomedovof Magomedov, Barriault
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$343,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…b3dfbacked Barriault17c210,613$36,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,405.572250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Barriault17c11,250$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.3635253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Barriault15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9913453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Barriault18c9,999$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.311140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Barriault19c8,632$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.472343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Barriault15c8,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Barriault16c5,720$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.76645.5%30 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Barriault14c5,399$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.4328143.1%121 W · 160 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d6…d716backed Barriault18c4,759$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.722751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Barriault17c2,470$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.1935826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Barriault19c1,711$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Magomedov79c1,666$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.486943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Barriault14c1,467$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.322352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Magomedov80c1,422$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.383933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Barriault17c1,257$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.53327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Barriault16c1,094$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Magomedov78c1,064$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.168544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a7…8f05backed Barriault20c1,010$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Barriault17c743.07$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2751533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Barriault17c705.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Barriault18c666.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029948.8%146 W · 153 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Barriault17c611.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1310041%41 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Barriault16c575$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9212159.5%72 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Barriault18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Barriault18c549.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988036.3%29 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Barriault21c509$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Barriault20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fb…70b1backed Barriault22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Barriault18c416.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c27…f6f9backed Barriault18c379.17$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.252321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked Barriault16c351.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.212352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Barriault10c320.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.152252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Barriault13c306.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.731631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Barriault11c288.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.476036.7%22 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Barriault18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba4…0caabacked Magomedov79c251.27$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.85955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff2…2602backed Barriault15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Barriault11c234.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.365736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65b…6c84backed Barriault18c225.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Barriault15c200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.756633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Barriault17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3436745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Barriault21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4154056.7%306 W · 234 L-1.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e2…cc43backed Magomedov59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e8…e81fbacked Barriault20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Barriault18c140.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.67147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d28…037ebacked Barriault17c133.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-19.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2935…78f9backed Barriault16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82b9…3e7ebacked Barriault18c121$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b7…33cbbacked Barriault17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Barriault17c114.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.528851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Barriault18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Barriault18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209737.1%36 W · 61 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Barriault18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d4…858cbacked Barriault18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Barriault25c110.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.482924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c9f…0e9ebacked Barriault19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Barriault20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028333.2%94 W · 189 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f6…8812backed Barriault17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+49.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Barriault14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf350…737fbacked Magomedov80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…613cbacked Barriault16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Barriault16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1648749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Barriault17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.818141.4%75 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Barriault14c97.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.691163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…0d06backed Barriault17c96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.842740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Barriault20c85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b26…6dc6backed Barriault18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5f…8812backed Barriault29c76.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Barriault17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Magomedov69c72.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.466354%34 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Barriault24c70.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.911942.9%51 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Barriault18c67.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0919230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Barriault18c66.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Barriault18c66.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x290e…b493backed Barriault18c66.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Barriault20c66.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310956%61 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Barriault16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106243.5%27 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Barriault30c33.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810148.5%49 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Barriault40c27.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.156547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9d…c956backed Magomedov62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.622953.3%122 W · 107 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a01…0d9abacked Magomedov63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47548%36 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.