TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0679…bebb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT7258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.95
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$77.23
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$78
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jonathan Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$36.24
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$131.02
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240.26
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.35
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.6
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
UFC Fight Night: Borralho and Ruffy backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
UFC: Johnson vs. Abbey backed Abbey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Will Walker win by decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Mingyang and Sterling backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Pavlovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates backed Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5125.5%13 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.82
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.62
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$118.91
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.85
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$46.46
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$67.56
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.02
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$31.94
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$190.41
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$102.13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.44
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+237.9%+$88.02
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.54
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$330.79
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$90.53
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$68.31
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba break NFL receiving yards record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$134.78
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Texans (-10.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bears (-7.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$44.46
Fantasy Football: Achane vs. Jeanty - Week 1 backed Achane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+92.6%+$23.15
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.59
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Giants vs. Commandersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Patriots (-2.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$23.94
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.97
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$81.36
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.86
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.39
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$66.86
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.39
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105.88
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+30.1%+$85.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.