TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1d9…2659backed Yes12c6,837$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed Yes12c4,334$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes16c3,878$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.375418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes8c3,872$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.383716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad06…2dfabacked Yes15c3,800$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd36…e7d5backed Yes13c2,692$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe26e…036bbacked Yes20c2,538$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x856d…770abacked Yes15c2,108$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe87…062abacked Yes3c2,096$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6560%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf51d…0d26backed Yes5c2,084$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c85…d15dbacked Yes15c1,729$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.32218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes12c1,545$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.852420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,513$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.243766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes7c1,400$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.58825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3844…7285backed Yes8c1,293$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1096523.1%15 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf24…dccfbacked Yes12c1,125$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a9…d211backed Yes9c905.28$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.74348.8%3 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167b…a9a0backed Yes6c893.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes13c877.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.712213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes8c826.04$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4412419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c802.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes5c760$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.914429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes13c674.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.71625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Yes16c599.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965022%11 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes9c543.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd71c…de8dbacked Yes7c529.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.55633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…8cd8backed Yes12c524.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes15c514.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.599333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes12c500$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.662343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd309…2d4dbacked Yes15c454.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41dc…6bbebacked Yes13c448.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf14b…9ef1backed Yes13c438$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c417.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6110128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes17c417.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e82…a06cbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8433…9738backed Yes14c402.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.32520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1f…11ffbacked Yes13c399.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9b…9e90backed Yes13c395.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes9c390$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.65619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7566…ae05backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402015%3 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-65.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de3…149cbacked Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1824…fda1backed Yes12c296.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.54348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Yes5c270$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes13c256.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.371520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes12c250$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x672e…36ccbacked Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949c…ab2cbacked Yes12c249.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303129%9 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes11c236.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x171f…7dd0backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No79c224.81$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1211266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bbc…90d5backed Yes11c220$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes13c210.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.772619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Yes13c200.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.711346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7473…935bbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x607b…acf6backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes20c194.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5512325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No78c193.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.736966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x42ab…3e26backed Yes13c192.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.771637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e7…6c06backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f97…87c8backed Yes10c189.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-70.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fa…c50ebacked Yes10c189.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.821118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-60.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cf…0aeabacked Yes16c188$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3309…be44backed Yes13c179.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.314231%13 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa470…5283backed Yes12c173.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-82.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ac…c619backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…8ddabacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6112…0827backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ec…df4cbacked Yes10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7371…4f5cbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e76…d740backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa756…d76abacked Yes7c146.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec7…88b8backed Yes14c144.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21225%3 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…a3f5backed Yes12c129.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…6bc6backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3a…9c1ebacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-59.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…2ff1backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f10…fd78backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes13c114.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.272817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f2…66e9backed Yes14c105.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2556…4222backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0615…5c47backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-58.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8a…2953backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2389…5158backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes13c94.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…4f29backed Yes14c93.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf2…e87dbacked Yes17c93.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes14c91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.746827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df1…1a27backed Yes17c89.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x439d…3e06backed Yes12c88.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x479f…5bfcbacked Yes13c84.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…19f5backed Yes18c82.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes12c82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.078127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.