TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3333…6bc6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT7759.7%46 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.14
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$13.63
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$59.43
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+207.8%+$82.14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$26.76
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$16.39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$127.89
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+455.4%+$91.08
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.05
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$13.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+466.7%+$70
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.