Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e68a84165ced9cd18ca75c6310205288dfd152bab8d3c291e664ca72842f583
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $541,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 1c | 22,427$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.68 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 2c | 22,134$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.57 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 2c | 20,780$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…33f6backed Yes | 1c | 17,852$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 17,117$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 15,500$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.25 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…6ffabacked Yes | 0c | 11,111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…2e44backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes | 2c | 9,701$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 303 | 10.9%33 W · 270 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 0c | 8,576$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 6c | 7,652$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.22 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 14c | 7,030$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.11 | 144 | 13.9%20 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 20c | 6,218$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.46 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 10c | 5,810$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.22 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,565$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 3c | 5,114$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 1,190 | 8.7%104 W · 1,086 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 252 | 11.5%29 W · 223 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 149 | 12.8%19 W · 130 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,247$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…2894backed Yes | 0c | 4,093$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 1c | 4,042$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 826 | 14.9%123 W · 703 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,813$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.55 | 270 | 24.4%66 W · 204 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 9c | 3,800$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 882 | 10.3%91 W · 791 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 16c | 3,416$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.91 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,978$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 5c | 2,875$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 1c | 2,548$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,463$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…5a02backed Yes | 1c | 2,313$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked Yes | 1c | 2,232$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…5a68backed Yes | 1c | 2,210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,200$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 16c | 2,153$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.38 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…b7b4backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…e06abacked Yes | 12c | 1,753$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 6c | 1,735$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 2c | 1,596$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,465$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 558 | 8.2%46 W · 512 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8848…8c30backed Yes | 9c | 1,449$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,372$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 182 | 4.4%8 W · 174 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 11c | 1,336$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…fcb4backed Yes | 1c | 1,292$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 10c | 1,280$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 13c | 1,270$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 12c | 1,226$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 312 | 24.7%77 W · 235 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…500fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,155$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 114 | 8.8%10 W · 104 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 6c | 1,147$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,141$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.07 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,126$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 11c | 1,121$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 15c | 1,101$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.56 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 12c | 1,070$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 1c | 1,050$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes | 4c | 1,026$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 13c | 1,004$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5578backed Yes | 10c | 998.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 288 | 12.8%37 W · 251 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 7c | 900$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…1257backed Yes | 3c | 861.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 15c | 833.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 144 | 27.1%39 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes | 2c | 832.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 28.2%50 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 12c | 831.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes | 16c | 818.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 106 | 17%18 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 3c | 789.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 7c | 708.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes | 15c | 660.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 117 | 4.3%5 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed79…64b8backed Yes | 2c | 623.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 621$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes | 15c | 617.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 96 | 14.6%14 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…b167backed Yes | 2c | 616.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67b…af43backed Yes | 17c | 602.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 159 | 22.6%36 W · 123 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cc…b624backed Yes | 10c | 542.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…f567backed Yes | 11c | 540.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 2c | 518.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9f…0ad6backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes | 15c | 432.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 15c | 428.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…4859backed Yes | 15c | 410.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 233 | 14.2%33 W · 200 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…d9e5backed Yes | 10c | 402.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a3…bfecbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…b267backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes | 12c | 399.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 320 | 16.6%53 W · 267 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 17c | 399.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fb…554cbacked Yes | 3c | 369.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 80c | 343.41$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 542 | 74.9%406 W · 136 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 6c | 305.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 132 | 24.2%32 W · 100 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…68e9backed Yes | 17c | 288.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…c4a8backed Yes | 18c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…318fbacked Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 14.4%16 W · 95 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cc…879cbacked Yes | 13c | 234.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…b910backed Yes | 11c | 221.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.