Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x885219cace5684edff9bc2647c81338ac6f6e6ab99e947dd36b17c53b7b570f8

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,162,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $876,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,162,045 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	0c	239,633$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.63	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	3c	83,574$2,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,095.97	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	1c	70,109$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.39	136	16.2%22 W · 114 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	4c	23,300$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.69	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	17,565$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.56	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	20c	14,399$2,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,926.7	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	9c	12,334$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.67	149	12.8%19 W · 130 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	11,492$1,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,674.49	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes	0c	11,111$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.22	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+1,823.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	19c	9,999$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,935.34	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	31c	9,160$2,801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800.66	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	15c	8,000$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,203.05	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	11c	7,728$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.05	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	5c	7,214$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.08	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	29c	6,664$1,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,924.83	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	5c	6,602$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.7	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	6,051$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.54	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	19c	6,029$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.85	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	0c	5,546$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.18	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	7c	5,061$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.16	270	24.4%66 W · 204 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	4,216$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.3	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	3c	4,000$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	3,979$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.55	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	11c	3,886$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.46	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x620d…9f02backed Yes	30c	3,869$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,163.64	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	3,757$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.9	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	18c	3,738$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.94	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aea…8951backed Yes	16c	3,550$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.35	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e73…ae48backed Yes	3c	3,518$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	12c	3,499$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.11	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	17c	3,458$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.47	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	28c	3,450$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	16c	3,438$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.15	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked No	77c	3,398$2,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$781.21	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes	17c	3,395$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.33	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	29c	3,284$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.14	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	10c	3,163$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.58	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	27c	3,152$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.07	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea2…2d33backed No	70c	3,073$2,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.29	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	14c	3,040$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.3	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	3c	3,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed No	77c	2,805$2,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.27	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	18c	2,789$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.64	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	23c	2,700$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.2	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	9c	2,699$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.29	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x687b…f8a7backed Yes	4c	2,675$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.35	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	7cpaid	+237.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	20c	2,667$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.13	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	21c	2,348$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.66	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No	77c	2,318$1,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.81	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	74c	2,262$1,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.27	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked No	68c	2,169$1,474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.88	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	33c	2,148$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.47	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb4…0872backed Yes	26c	2,145$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.64	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	26c	2,113$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.28	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	1c	2,084$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.31	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	1c	2,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	12c	1,921$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.92	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	21c	1,839$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.07	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c77…2eb1backed Yes	19c	1,831$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed No	80c	1,754$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.44	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	71c	1,557$1,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.61	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e82…77acbacked Yes	8c	1,555$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.62	159	25.2%40 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	5c	1,551$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.46	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	19c	1,551$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.8	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	71c	1,446$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422	186	76.9%143 W · 43 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	73c	1,417$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.28	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	27c	1,384$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.93	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	14c	1,379$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.36	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	9c	1,358$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.25	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	11c	1,330$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.3	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	16c	1,283$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.03	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	14c	1,273$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.04	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	74c	1,248$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.94	219	59.8%131 W · 88 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	21c	1,236$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.43	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea8…36efbacked Yes	32c	1,224$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.54	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…ee5cbacked Yes	33c	1,204$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.23	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	33c	1,146$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	30c	1,129$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.11	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9dc…6900backed Yes	27c	1,128$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.44	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	24c	1,127$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.77	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde98…b6cebacked Yes	25c	1,124$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.6	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-67%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed Yes	1c	1,110$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	29c	1,105$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.82	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	4c	1,101$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.19	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a8…2111backed Yes	9c	1,056$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.91	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	7c	1,052$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.25	288	12.8%37 W · 251 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	19c	1,045$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.74	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	22c	1,029$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.55	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	19c	1,027$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.05	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	20c	1,022$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.8	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	4c	1,019$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	13c	1,015$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.53	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fb…af41backed Yes	36c	1,010$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.56	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	13c	1,008$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.55	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…6906backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	999.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4602…b575backed Yes	37c	999.76$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.48	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…47a4backed Yes	28c	998.33$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.91	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-4.4wins	-0.19per pick	28cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes	18c	980.14$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.3	80	20%16 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event