Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63099329059ec97d25b243512ac754595f49dfe54e486a26066e5a9e6e3fa01c

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,729,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $925,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,729,371 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	3c	83,369$2,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,260.86	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	1c	77,078$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.97	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	70,242$2,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,113.85	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	15c	69,576$10,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,618.53	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	45,000$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.77	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	43,701$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.28	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	29,130$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.95	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	27,479$853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.41	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes	2c	25,123$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.78	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	16cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b3e…74d0backed Yes	5c	24,574$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	2c	22,870$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.81	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	2c	22,281$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.51	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	21,969$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.37	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	4c	19,799$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.56	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	0c	16,100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.7	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Yes	1c	15,349$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.88	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	1c	13,984$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.89	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	13,624$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.51	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	7c	12,714$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.7	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	3c	12,028$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.34	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	11,899$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.17	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x526d…3d46backed Yes	0c	11,400$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	2c	11,300$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.69	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	11,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	10,893$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.72	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	2c	10,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	1c	10,000$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.15	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	3c	9,617$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.21	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	10c	9,123$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.1	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	9c	8,647$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.02	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	4c	8,363$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.22	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes	2c	8,324$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	4c	8,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.99	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	2c	7,738$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.21	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	3c	7,645$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.14	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	9c	7,444$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.29	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	21c	7,196$1,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,495.75	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	3c	6,944$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.11	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	10c	6,894$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.86	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	6,657$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.94	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	6,603$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.18	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	6c	6,330$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.89	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	2c	6,275$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.83	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	3c	6,175$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.84	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	6,018$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.35	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	9c	5,903$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.06	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	5,900$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.9	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	4c	5,816$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	3c	5,751$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.05	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	16c	5,586$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.06	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	2c	5,565$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.57	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	5,438$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.36	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	5,337$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.38	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	3c	5,210$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.81	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001f…9cb5backed Yes	1c	5,184$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.55	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	4c	5,109$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.48	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	10c	5,103$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	3c	5,097$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.03	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	3c	5,062$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	5,004$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.89	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	5,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	5,000$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	2c	4,504$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.37	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	7c	4,412$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.22	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	5c	4,406$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.27	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	1c	4,406$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb41b…36bebacked Yes	1c	4,350$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.85	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	+67%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	1c	4,286$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.98	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	3c	4,280$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.34	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	2c	4,075$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.26	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcade…db51backed Yes	11c	4,037$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f4…16f3backed Yes	4c	4,027$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfacd…031ebacked Yes	1c	3,793$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.78	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	1c	3,731$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.62	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	3,700$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	3c	3,659$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.09	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	11c	3,592$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.89	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b4…930ebacked Yes	1c	3,508$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	2c	3,493$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.13	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	2c	3,398$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.54	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf2…f130backed Yes	15c	3,308$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.5	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	5c	3,248$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.3	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	3,198$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	3,147$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.82	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	7c	3,066$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.04	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	3,036$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.4	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	2c	3,000$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	2c	2,876$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.4	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	0c	2,758$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	6c	2,748$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…ee5cbacked Yes	7c	2,742$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.96	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd35…942dbacked Yes	0c	2,689$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	16c	2,676$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.64	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aaa…c18dbacked Yes	1c	2,656$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.47	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+219.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9a…9737backed Yes	7c	2,606$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	2,565$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.28	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,550$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	2,531$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.04	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed8…2e77backed Yes	6c	2,493$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.42	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	6c	2,480$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.08	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event