Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064917719b44dba6084e5a6147b6d515b508da2efa25b25eae7ddae0cd79f175

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,305,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $601,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,305,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	128,167$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.13	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	100,575$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.46	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	54,887$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.18	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	3c	37,659$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.96	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	33,957$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.6	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	32,512$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.98	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	0c	21,229$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.63	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	3c	20,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	19,375$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.96	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	18,597$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.81	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	3c	18,123$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.86	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	17,889$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.37	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	16,949$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.86	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	2c	16,947$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.65	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	15,228$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.23	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	3c	15,039$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.33	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	12,281$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.3	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	0c	12,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	11,671$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.27	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x526d…3d46backed Yes	0c	11,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	0c	10,685$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.05	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	1c	10,431$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.73	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	1c	10,000$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.22	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	1c	9,917$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.45	136	16.2%22 W · 114 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	9,650$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.11	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	9,117$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.47	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	9,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	1c	8,167$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.18	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0431…fcb4backed Yes	0c	7,743$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.43	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	1c	7,669$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.21	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	1c	7,624$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.36	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	1c	7,440$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.47	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	0c	6,548$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	1c	6,352$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.74	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	1c	6,324$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.88	149	12.8%19 W · 130 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	0c	5,929$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	1c	5,070$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	1c	4,801$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.21	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	4,524$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.19	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ec…7ef0backed Yes	0c	4,355$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	1c	4,080$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	211	22.3%47 W · 164 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	1c	4,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	252	11.5%29 W · 223 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	4c	3,726$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.66	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	2c	3,500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	2c	3,500$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	0c	3,493$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	0c	3,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	1c	3,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	2c	3,000$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…46a6backed Yes	1c	2,944$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	2,796$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.61	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	1c	2,761$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes	1c	2,689$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.89	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	2c	2,674$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.76	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	2,639$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.93	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	4c	2,637$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	3c	2,586$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.7	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	2,565$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	4c	2,555$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	2,482$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	2c	2,427$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	2,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	2,199$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.59	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	2,171$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.81	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	2c	2,090$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b4c…4277backed Yes	1c	2,083$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	10.4%7 W · 60 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	2,036$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	2c	1,943$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.69	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	1c	1,914$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.99	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	2c	1,857$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.14	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b64…ebdebacked Yes	2c	1,812$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.37	78	25.6%20 W · 58 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	3c	1,712$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	1c	1,667$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6e…4ec7backed Yes	1c	1,667$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	1,663$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.36	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	1c	1,661$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	288	12.8%37 W · 251 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	1c	1,655$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b9…7023backed Yes	3c	1,632$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.67	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,580$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	1c	1,571$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.76	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	1,525$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	1c	1,513$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.54	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	2c	1,500$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	3c	1,493$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.04	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	1c	1,450$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	3c	1,374$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.49	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4577…1b15backed Yes	1c	1,300$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes	4c	1,270$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	3c	1,268$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.91	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,250$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	578	11.4%66 W · 512 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x378e…2ca7backed Yes	2c	1,247$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked Yes	1c	1,169$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045a…b9a4backed Yes	2c	1,100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	2c	1,094$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.45	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255e…a4cdbacked Yes	3c	1,048$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event