Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34f162f61a90524c7970782b6b64e04969ab1d68627fcda93d065aa49ad2abfb

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,325,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,157,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,325,389 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	72c	134,433$97,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,113.89	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	21c	59,234$12,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,655.48	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	36c	28,902$10,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,353.56	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	76c	24,311$18,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,903.64	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	32c	23,061$7,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,273.67	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	35c	16,314$5,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,618.59	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b3e…74d0backed Yes	12c	16,079$1,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,228.87	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	15,999$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,982	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	35c	15,660$5,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,129.93	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	71c	15,270$10,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,807.31	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed No	0c	15,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	22c	14,515$3,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,277.44	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	13c	13,902$1,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,067.67	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	10c	12,931$1,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,612.5	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	54c	12,796$6,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,959.64	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	25c	12,781$3,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,604.86	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	31c	10,931$3,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,520.64	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	10,550$761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,788.99	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	3c	10,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,699.93	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	40c	9,000$3,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,400.87	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	27c	8,897$2,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,452.13	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	46c	8,561$3,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,946.1	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes	0c	8,397$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,380.51	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+1,823.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	46c	8,205$3,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,430.59	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	55c	6,904$3,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,790.52	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	35c	6,655$2,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,296.44	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	5,993$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,843.23	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	80c	5,969$4,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218.5	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	23c	5,610$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,331.38	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	19c	5,500$1,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,451.99	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked No	2c	5,296$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	13c	5,133$693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,440.99	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	29c	5,132$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,641.83	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	28c	5,032$1,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,639.07	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	57c	4,968$2,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,111.3	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	4c	4,880$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.6	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	32c	4,721$1,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,228.02	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	24c	4,706$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,580.25	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	29c	4,607$1,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,260.27	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	25c	4,565$1,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,406.45	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	14c	4,522$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,898.31	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	73c	4,220$3,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.28	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	11c	4,101$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,650.23	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	70c	4,070$2,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,858.39	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1a…1c72backed No	2c	4,051$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	4,028$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,971.88	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcade…db51backed Yes	7c	4,017$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,736.27	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes	31c	3,964$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,737.31	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	13c	3,910$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,393.68	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	21c	3,882$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,050.57	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	3,881$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,755.93	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	3c	3,878$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,756.84	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	11c	3,867$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,424.83	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	8c	3,768$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,468.43	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes	45c	3,653$1,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,023.8	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	34c	3,598$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,375.25	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	3,578$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,244.03	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	24c	3,500$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,651.79	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	51c	3,410$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,733.9	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61e…6906backed Yes	19c	3,386$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,755.5	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	38c	3,365$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100.85	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	9c	3,344$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,029.75	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	7c	3,313$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,089.52	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked No	1c	3,300$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.7	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	50c	3,207$1,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,618.3	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	19c	3,183$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,582.59	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	3c	3,000$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,904	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	21c	2,968$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,350.94	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	10c	2,849$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,553.37	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	24c	2,848$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.59	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	60c	2,846$1,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,697.17	218	57.8%126 W · 92 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	35c	2,796$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,807.72	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	36c	2,668$954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,714.35	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	3c	2,601$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,533.62	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	11c	2,587$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.7	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	75c	2,550$1,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,906.66	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	53c	2,546$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.06	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	39c	2,545$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,542.94	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	6c	2,424$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,289.69	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	27c	2,416$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,763.99	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes	28c	2,362$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,695.22	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4f…eb7ebacked Yes	45c	2,294$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,271.58	218	27.1%59 W · 159 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-27%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	49c	2,255$1,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106.74	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	14c	2,219$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,915.52	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	23c	2,150$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,657.15	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	69c	2,052$1,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406.36	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	25c	2,048$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,528.37	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	80c	2,040$1,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,621.57	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	2,000$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,892.98	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	35c	1,973$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.96	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	13c	1,961$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,701.27	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	2c	1,893$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.02	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	20c	1,870$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.24	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	69c	1,867$1,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.98	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7de…537abacked Yes	6c	1,797$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,695.71	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+93.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32c…a4c2backed No	77c	1,780$1,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,368.38	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	36c	1,717$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.38	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	57c	1,712$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.78	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	23c	1,671$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,288.7	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	71c	1,659$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172.12	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event