TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,741,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,964,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,741,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,952 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes63c239,936$150,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,211.57757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No37c238,081$88,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,998.099028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes62c198,603$123,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,133.932065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No38c188,998$71,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,179.036048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c121,389$63,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,247.794,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Yes38c90,416$34,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,301.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes63c87,632$55,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,208.461625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c82,520$43,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,417.341,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No37c77,225$28,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,381.553138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c76,174$28,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,453.631,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes64c64,287$41,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,071.489244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8379…ed71backed Yes63c58,680$36,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,968.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No39c56,132$22,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,091.839743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No45c54,999$24,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,044.541,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c47,742$17,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,554.787321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No66c44,550$29,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,158.773366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No38c43,698$16,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,092.8210948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked No38c40,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes59c34,870$20,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,595.815940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c33,589$19,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,091.8843439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes64c33,562$21,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,479.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c31,729$20,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,553.843,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked No66c29,384$19,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,051.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick73cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes50c27,936$14,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,020.291361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No37c25,737$9,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,292.742532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes1c23,237$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f8…9c65backed Yes26c20,289$5,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,233.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes21c19,844$4,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,195.8790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked No37c19,586$7,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,410.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No39c18,587$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,327.12825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No36c17,858$6,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,429.043925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes20c16,769$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.252334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes64c16,406$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.722850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes65c15,488$10,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,002.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes63c15,058$9,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,486.6214250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No37c15,023$5,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,486.072,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked No36c15,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No36c15,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.891233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No41c14,972$6,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,868.732748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes63c14,374$9,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,022.632138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes63c13,339$8,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,354.9928055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No37c13,200$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,369.816051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes63c13,154$8,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,286.861747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes36c12,926$4,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,653.181225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes64c12,800$8,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,192.145453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes10c12,791$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.6280%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No38c12,675$4,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,919.222445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No37c12,580$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,900.5414951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No37c12,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5606746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes63c11,640$7,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,333.53525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No36c11,474$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,288.538828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes33c11,244$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.463732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No36c11,110$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,054.7116740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes38c10,928$4,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,113.0123727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No36c10,872$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,958.075232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Yes62c10,300$6,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,362.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes9c10,067$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.4221322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Yes34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,300666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.995052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Yes0c9,433$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.921844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No37c9,044$3,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,697.946357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No38c9,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5808041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No37c9,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.975853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No41c8,989$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,342.381040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Yes33c8,885$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.65850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No36c7,935$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,078.486127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No52c7,908$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.2282844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes64c7,644$4,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8924742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes41c7,392$3,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,037.615431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes29c7,269$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.2540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No41c7,096$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.6514067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8b…e0dbbacked Yes64c7,020$4,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,492.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No36c7,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.772755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No36c6,811$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.655749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No37c6,744$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,276.86757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No64c6,649$4,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.820245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes30c6,387$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9161631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97ec…a3eebacked Yes63c6,293$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,964.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+101%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No36c6,280$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes63c6,208$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,911.298252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No64c6,014$3,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.045964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.965750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.863946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb06…d9acbacked Yes63c5,820$3,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No36c5,808$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.961050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe166…8f14backed Yes63c5,639$3,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,552.74650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No35c5,462$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.3612050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes61c5,424$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,281.514362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Yes24c5,292$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No36c5,123$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,278.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+65.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No37c4,983$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.196746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c5a…ff9fbacked Yes61c4,951$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6758…dba8backed Yes61c4,929$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes62c4,926$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,054.326160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ace…95a9backed Yes62c4,886$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.451258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No36c4,866$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.172222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed No40c4,816$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.561040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No37c4,770$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.4463757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.