MLB · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df20e187b3430400ba549942e0e1e0752fe5ce8bf91c26f28c2223a11c4261b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 15,000$10,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,339.12 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 7,445$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 4,237$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.82 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 4,119$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 3,823$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 3,650$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 999.94$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 835$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.6 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 787.53$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 705$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.65 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 690$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 609.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.66 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 609.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.66 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 594$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.64 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 499.33$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 321.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 285.83$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 272.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 203.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 186.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 164.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 121$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 101.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 75.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 70.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 70.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 63.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 49.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 48.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 45.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 44.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 38.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…6bc6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 30.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 27.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 125 | 72%90 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 25.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 25.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 22.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.