MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca8022f32736a56387e49502cab8c5b059ff89528d58ec130eebf73af8767c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Under | 0c | 44,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 19,555$7,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,910.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Under | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 51c | 6,535$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 43c | 6,342$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.1 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 42c | 6,309$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 4,432$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Under | 57c | 4,140$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed Under | 56c | 4,024$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 47c | 2,162$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.86 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 2,074$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 1,615$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.25 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.56 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 1,307$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.95 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 1,300$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.19 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 1,228$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 42c | 1,081$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.12 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 42c | 1,081$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.94 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 47c | 1,016$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 2c | 1,015$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 2c | 724.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 34c | 685.9$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Under | 50c | 623.5$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.75 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 49c | 615.12$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.41 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 38c | 494.05$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.54 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under | 67c | 424.91$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 64c | 375.88$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 35c | 311$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 80c | 296.88$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 27 | 92.6%25 W · 2 L | +9.8wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 284.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Under | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 48c | 217.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 194.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 37c | 151.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 122.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Over | 48c | 105.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…d515backed Over | 48c | 104.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…5623backed Under | 51c | 95.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 90.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 73c | 86.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 53c | 67.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 59c | 66.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…5898backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 64c | 57.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 50c | 48.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…4933backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…c459backed Under | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 37c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 51c | 33.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Under | 71c | 33.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…352ebacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…185fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 77c | 14.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.