MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cbaf57a009d98bb3e65fbcf08d0bf5afe323bb0ac258c01483ef14acd7c3540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $636,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $657,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 184,209$114,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,999.36 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 131,801$50,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,084.46 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 49,131$18,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,669.71 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 38,600$14,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,281.84 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 33,333$20,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,666.54 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 32,043$20,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,914.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 27,686$17,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,520.68 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 21,773$8,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,994.69 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 21,069$11,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,710.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 20,466$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 14,907$9,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,202.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 14,132$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,370 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 13,048$9,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.89 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 11,249$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,576.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…fdf8backed Washington Nationals | 0c | 10,714$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 10,532$7,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,035.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 10,065$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,602.19 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 9,435$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.15 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 8,248$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.93 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 8,156$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.02 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.5 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Washington Nationals | 0c | 7,215$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 6,019$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.21 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 5,237$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 4,408$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.7 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,205$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 4,078$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.56 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 3,980$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.4 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 3,495$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,306$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 3,078$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 2,895$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.16 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 2,782$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.3 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,778$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.77 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,705$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.05 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals | 3c | 2,458$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 2,271$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.35 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 2,069$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.74 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,959$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.62 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 1,787$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.38 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 1,670$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…a848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,567$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,512$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.17 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,418$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 1,289$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.97 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,283$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.54 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,253$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.25 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 1,245$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.58 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 1,209$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 1,152$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Washington Nationals | 9c | 1,114$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,109$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.78 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 993.54$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.16 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 973.11$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 971.86$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 970.56$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.64 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 924.32$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 896.2$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.26 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 849.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 792.63$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.58 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…9062backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 783.26$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.64 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 741.1$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 722$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.36 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 703.3$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.38 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…f71bbacked Washington Nationals | 2c | 688.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 657.26$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.58 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…bbd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 605.79$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.97 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…8e5dbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 592.68$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 569.3$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.34 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 559$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.01 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…1c22backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 509.76$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 502$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.76 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 499.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 497.84$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 494.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.92 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 493.42$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 490.64$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.98 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 481.68$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.49 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 460.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 447.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 440$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 424$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…5542backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 417.65$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 410$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 395.8$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 390.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.25 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 388.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.86 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.