MLB · resolved market

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d48a2cf0249e72082dd8b779256db37a9165eeccbb2fce5ac480afa2b3d4efc

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Washington Nationals
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $167,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $240,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,366 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies	50c	65,000$32,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,500	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	50c	28,602$14,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,325.43	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals	50c	16,641$8,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,329.14	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals	50c	11,867$5,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,937.86	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies	49c	7,913$3,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,002.37	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Washington Nationals	50c	7,777$3,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,888.5	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	50c	7,500$3,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,750	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Washington Nationals	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies	40c	2,699$1,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,613.09	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals	50c	2,520$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Washington Nationals	50c	2,400$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Philadelphia Phillies	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.91	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals	51c	1,715$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.48	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals	50c	1,452$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.11	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals	50c	1,111$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.5	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	27c	1,013$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.75	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Nationals	50c	1,001$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.32	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals	50c	1,000$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.97	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Washington Nationals	52c	739.75$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.67	410	51.7%212 W · 198 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Washington Nationals	53c	571.28$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.78	226	38.5%87 W · 139 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Washington Nationals	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Washington Nationals	51c	470.58$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Washington Nationals	50c	459.61$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.81	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Washington Nationals	50c	440.9$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.45	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals	50c	420$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies	49c	409.99$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.1	483	54.7%264 W · 219 L	+20.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies	49c	399.99$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	693	51.9%360 W · 333 L	+26.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals	73c	315.52$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.39	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	297$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.39	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Washington Nationals	54c	288.49$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.13	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies	49c	242.78$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.22	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals	51c	199$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.49	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed Washington Nationals	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Philadelphia Phillies	26c	172.09$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.28	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Philadelphia Phillies	51c	162$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.68	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals	52c	155.01$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.09	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Washington Nationals	65c	150$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	506	47%238 W · 268 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies	22c	149.83$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.43	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Washington Nationals	71c	139.03$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.71	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals	71c	138.41$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.76	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Washington Nationals	50c	138.34$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.17	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Washington Nationals	52c	134.62$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	674	49.4%333 W · 341 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals	50c	132.44$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.22	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals	51c	124$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.24	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Washington Nationals	50c	114.24$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.12	196	54.1%106 W · 90 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Philadelphia Phillies	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Washington Nationals	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.72	166	48.8%81 W · 85 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Washington Nationals	51c	99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.49	138	53.6%74 W · 64 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Washington Nationals	69c	93.71$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.89	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies	42c	89.99$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.85	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Philadelphia Phillies	50c	86.54$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.27	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c49…1862backed Washington Nationals	52c	77.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	53.8%190 W · 163 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies	25c	77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.57	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Philadelphia Phillies	47c	71.28$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.78	674	53%357 W · 317 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Washington Nationals	70c	70.53$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.37	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Washington Nationals	71c	69.51$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.35	739	49.8%368 W · 371 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals	77c	67.3$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.65	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Philadelphia Phillies	50c	67$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	721	54.2%391 W · 330 L	+20.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+144.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals	71c	65.23$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.21	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Philadelphia Phillies	51c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.68	536	44.6%239 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdef6…d18fbacked Washington Nationals	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	453	48.6%220 W · 233 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Washington Nationals	71c	53.46$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	162	50.6%82 W · 80 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2458…9062backed Washington Nationals	70c	53.24$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.27	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Washington Nationals	71c	53.1$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.7	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Washington Nationals	71c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Washington Nationals	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Washington Nationals	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Philadelphia Phillies	48c	48.49$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.21	1,804	53.8%970 W · 834 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Washington Nationals	50c	48.31$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.39	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Washington Nationals	53c	47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	539	50.6%273 W · 266 L	+16.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Philadelphia Phillies	47c	46.94$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.88	420	47.9%201 W · 219 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked Washington Nationals	52c	46.31$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.08	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Washington Nationals	52c	42.32$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Washington Nationals	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Washington Nationals	50c	39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	392	50.3%197 W · 195 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Washington Nationals	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	312	50%156 W · 156 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Philadelphia Phillies	27c	36.87$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.79	260	63.8%166 W · 94 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals	60c	35.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Washington Nationals	52c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-5.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Washington Nationals	70c	33.95$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	746	57.8%431 W · 315 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals	74c	30.9$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Philadelphia Phillies	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.15	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Philadelphia Phillies	49c	29.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	816	51.8%423 W · 393 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Washington Nationals	52c	26.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	899	50.6%455 W · 444 L	-24.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de2…cd3fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+7.1wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies	46c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Philadelphia Phillies	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	468	54.5%255 W · 213 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies	53c	22.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.7	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Washington Nationals	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Philadelphia Phillies	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Washington Nationals	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	1,464	63.5%929 W · 535 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a9…6f76backed Washington Nationals	66c	17.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…44fdbacked Washington Nationals	70c	17.51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.26	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsPhiladelphia Phillies won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event