MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd909c6b2f0d58c39f430afd1ab586d9ff2a6e7dbd74d1fc0c45b9fa605e22ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 51c | 36,212$18,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,744.09 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 19,339$9,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,429.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 49c | 7,552$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.48 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 4,808$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Under | 48c | 1,757$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.24 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 48c | 1,555$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.4 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 49c | 1,320$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 1,233$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 1,059$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 51c | 1,015$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.36 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 929.49$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.45 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 715$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Under | 47c | 532.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 490.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 31c | 426.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 70c | 411.03$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 52c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 357$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 33c | 337.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 5c | 293.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Over | 52c | 285.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 57c | 278.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 49c | 267.16$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 31c | 251.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 70c | 245$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 34c | 199$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 192.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 49c | 183.16$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 181$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 176.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 48c | 159.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 52c | 146.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 146$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 41c | 143.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 137.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 70c | 136.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 44c | 132.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 132.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 44c | 129.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 45c | 123.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 53c | 111.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 48c | 109.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 46c | 91.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 52c | 77.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 39c | 73.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 67.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…f017backed Under | 46c | 66.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Under | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 49c | 62.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 44c | 57.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 60c | 57.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…addcbacked Over | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 66c | 55.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 49.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 47c | 47.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Over | 52c | 42.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 45c | 40.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 40.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 43c | 40.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 49c | 37.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 48c | 37.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 51c | 35.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 49c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…6be0backed Over | 52c | 34.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Over | 52c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 48c | 24.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6f76backed Over | 54c | 22.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Over | 52c | 20.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…075dbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.