TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over51c36,212$18,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,744.0943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c19,339$9,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,429.6711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under49c7,552$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.488446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over51c4,808$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.153,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6802,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Under48c1,757$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.171,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,563$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.2468053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under48c1,555$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.41,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under49c1,320$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.892046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over67c1,233$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.718,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c1,059$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under51c1,015$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.3691252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under49c929.49$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.4561450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under49c715$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3527249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Under47c532.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under48c490.57$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4844749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under31c426.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.71,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over70c411.03$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3197050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Over52c400$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2144949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c357$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.931,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under33c337.76$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7579255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under5c293.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513946.8%65 W · 74 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Over52c285.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9129656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over57c278.46$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.842,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under49c267.16$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9190446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under31c251.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.744744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over70c245$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.52,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9673849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under34c199$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.78,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c192.4$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.352,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over49c183.16$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5629549.8%147 W · 148 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c181$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.886,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over52c176.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.921,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under48c159.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5322350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Over52c146.15$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1521853.2%116 W · 102 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c146$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.541,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over41c143.9$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.375,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c137.81$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.884,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over70c136.35$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.431,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under44c132.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.941,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c132.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.331,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…ffcabacked Under44c129.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.535149%25 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2532850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under45c123.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.645,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under53c111.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2674657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under48c109.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.453,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.268966.3%59 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1511352.2%59 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under46c91.85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.256053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c79.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over52c77.61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9831258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under39c73.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.340446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under48c67.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.547350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x117b…f017backed Under46c66.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.72433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Under49c65.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under49c62.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4812541.6%52 W · 73 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b07…5f54backed Under44c57.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.336546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over60c57.08$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.756,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f33…addcbacked Over52c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+73.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over66c55.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.971,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.962,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over52c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4853950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74dd…f3c5backed Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.211254.5%61 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.512939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.517953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c49.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.822,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under47c47.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.782,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Over52c42.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5885949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cf…6659backed Under45c40.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.443938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c40.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.352,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under43c40.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.451,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.677836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4673243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Under49c37.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5234451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over48c37.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.584,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over51c35.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3770546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under49c34.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0125448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…6be0backed Over52c34.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.482958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.572,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Over52c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1211050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9239250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Under49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7220944%92 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under48c24.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6842448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a9…6f76backed Over54c22.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.354860.4%29 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c21.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.153,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Over52c20.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8314546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x375d…075dbacked Over68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.