MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1634ac7aadbd8f9e0b50dbb4b4c8c829215ffb37b30f1944b140a037e3d347f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $461,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 46,285$9,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,325.27 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 39,554$22,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,652.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 30,833$21,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,886.65 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 26,553$11,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,558.31 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 24,304$7,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,541.17 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 18c | 16,450$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef7b…6c88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 14,513$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,689.29 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 12,216$8,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.51 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 11,320$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,282.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 11,111$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.7 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 9,282$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,590.47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 8,537$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.59 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 7,917$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.28 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 7,426$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.43 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 6,777$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.45 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 6,332$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…7e68backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 6,300$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 5,954$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.35 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 11c | 5,902$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.82 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 5,105$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.38 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 4,871$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 4,637$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.98 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 4,395$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.03 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 4,371$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.28 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8922backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 3,676$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 3,610$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.74 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 3,544$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.88 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 14c | 3,302$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.14 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 3,074$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,875$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.81 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 2,836$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.19 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 2,675$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.47 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 2,556$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.16 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 2,443$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.79 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 2,300$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 2,071$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 2,058$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.28 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 2,044$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.85 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 2,042$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.82 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 1,824$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.42 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,695$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.5 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…d2a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 1,641$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 1,579$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.61 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 1,400$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.08 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,400$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.61 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,384$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.93 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,355$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.84 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,340$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.82 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 1,266$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.73 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,070$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.1 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 1,054$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,035$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.54 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 1,007$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.4 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 1,003$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.11 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 999.97$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 999.96$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.97 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…2eadbacked Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 985.92$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 984$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.8 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 975.08$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 968.18$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.74 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 957.75$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 955.05$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.72 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 916.39$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 901.49$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.52 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 886.85$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.81 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 875.04$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 838.58$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.62 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 825$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.75 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 818.62$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.88 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 13c | 799.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 755.28$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 16c | 750$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 743$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 724.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 720$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 719.85$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.39 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 714.21$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.7 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 703.87$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.37 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 696.1$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.12 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 686.13$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.36 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 679.95$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.16 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 657.46$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 641.79$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.95 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 11c | 634.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…202bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 600.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 16c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…9b09backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 584.41$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.81 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.