TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baltimore Oriolesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Los Angeles Dodgers35c268.1$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.821,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Baltimore Orioles66c158.38$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8523240.9%95 W · 137 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers8c129.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles70c90.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96c…1e56backed Baltimore Orioles67c48.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.941266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Los Angeles Dodgers34c40.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5914643.8%64 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65cf…5206backed Baltimore Orioles67c35.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.582070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7808…c4b1backed Baltimore Orioles67c33.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.091258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…df55backed Baltimore Orioles67c32.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.761250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61a8…8539backed Baltimore Orioles67c31.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…a082backed Baltimore Orioles67c31.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.261163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Baltimore Orioles65c30.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7744345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d4…47a7backed Baltimore Orioles67c30.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb7…f54bbacked Baltimore Orioles67c30.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a0…85a8backed Baltimore Orioles68c30.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb0…f977backed Baltimore Orioles67c30.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f1…adc3backed Baltimore Orioles67c30.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.971553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcb…0694backed Baltimore Orioles67c28.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5992…2ad0backed Baltimore Orioles67c28.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7a…4886backed Baltimore Orioles67c28.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2655…77d2backed Baltimore Orioles68c28.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.152272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1bd…35a1backed Baltimore Orioles67c28.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f5…23fabacked Baltimore Orioles68c28.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.021369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x233c…6996backed Baltimore Orioles67c28.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.311457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e4c…745bbacked Baltimore Orioles67c28.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.311963.2%12 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6c…0b33backed Baltimore Orioles67c28.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdca7…0720backed Baltimore Orioles68c27.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a2…7460backed Baltimore Orioles65c27.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.691050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e37…ac4abacked Baltimore Orioles67c27.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.111764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…ab5dbacked Baltimore Orioles67c27.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.041060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da1…60b6backed Baltimore Orioles67c27.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.011369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5e…d255backed Baltimore Orioles67c26.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.88850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b8…d280backed Baltimore Orioles68c26.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8f…98b1backed Baltimore Orioles67c25.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…f13abacked Baltimore Orioles67c25.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1f…0fdcbacked Baltimore Orioles67c25.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c2…594cbacked Baltimore Orioles67c25.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.411464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cf…ad38backed Baltimore Orioles67c25.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.351258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b04…95d7backed Baltimore Orioles68c25.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40c1…6fc2backed Baltimore Orioles67c25.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.351275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…6da5backed Baltimore Orioles68c24.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.94955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x563d…94cabacked Baltimore Orioles67c24.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.121070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6111…3b98backed Baltimore Orioles68c24.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.841154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae70…8194backed Baltimore Orioles68c24.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.841861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59e9…7ed8backed Baltimore Orioles67c24.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.051040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x407b…bba5backed Baltimore Orioles67c24.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.021353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…443bbacked Baltimore Orioles67c23.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.852259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcad8…7a2bbacked Baltimore Orioles67c23.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.85560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…24a8backed Baltimore Orioles68c23.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.461668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2355…572dbacked Baltimore Orioles68c23.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.421650%8 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11dd…ab7cbacked Baltimore Orioles67c23.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.621050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cee…7599backed Baltimore Orioles67c22.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.521662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2625…e320backed Baltimore Orioles68c22.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb351…d62abacked Baltimore Orioles68c22.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles67c22.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba2…db1fbacked Baltimore Orioles67c22.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.391050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cc…28bdbacked Baltimore Orioles67c22.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…90e5backed Baltimore Orioles68c22.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.071546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick67cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf723…7835backed Baltimore Orioles68c21.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1a5…cffdbacked Baltimore Orioles67c21.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.191361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc901…ba9cbacked Baltimore Orioles67c21.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.19366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a9…1df3backed Baltimore Orioles67c21.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick69cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e32…b2fcbacked Baltimore Orioles67c21.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.121560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3096…093cbacked Baltimore Orioles67c21.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.091369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f91…d069backed Baltimore Orioles67c21.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.091662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d41…581fbacked Baltimore Orioles67c21.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x702a…d666backed Baltimore Orioles67c21.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c38…c255backed Baltimore Orioles68c21.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.821266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc153…3f71backed Baltimore Orioles68c21.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.79966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f46…9f54backed Baltimore Orioles68c21.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.781957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b6…3bafbacked Baltimore Orioles67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x290b…394abacked Baltimore Orioles68c20.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8174…32dbbacked Baltimore Orioles67c20.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.86988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x88fa…bb82backed Baltimore Orioles68c20.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4bc…afb5backed Baltimore Orioles68c20.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2043…4a73backed Baltimore Orioles68c20.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…6d30backed Baltimore Orioles68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…cbc8backed Baltimore Orioles67c19.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.571968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2878…8698backed Baltimore Orioles68c19.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.341070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa711…a134backed Baltimore Orioles67c17.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.