MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d2835aad7087ac12a54ddf1d0be8598e80f6ba31b91eb87a506421d148749a

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $68,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,625 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	54c	12,731$6,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,856.18	1,414	49.5%700 W · 714 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	46c	10,727$4,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,939.46	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Under	52c	10,275$5,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,932.81	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	52cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over	47c	6,095$2,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,864.71	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	47c	5,466$2,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,551.24	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Under	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	54c	2,255$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046.4	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under	53c	2,222$1,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,044.32	1,358	50.8%690 W · 668 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	47c	2,106$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.26	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	53c	1,585$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752	686	52.9%363 W · 323 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	47c	1,445$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.19	2,311	51%1,179 W · 1,132 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over	47c	1,277$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	46c	1,051$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.58	273	45.4%124 W · 149 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	46c	1,049$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.71	445	53.5%238 W · 207 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	48c	1,000$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under	53c	948$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.56	366	48.9%179 W · 187 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Under	55c	874.65$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.59	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	48c	858.15$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.39	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	52c	707.4$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.83	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under	53c	630.07$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.06	2,375	47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over	46c	609$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.14	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over	47c	601.17$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.55	900	53.6%482 W · 418 L	+24.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over	47c	505.01$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.35	493	58.8%290 W · 203 L	+30.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Over	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.6wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	47c	392.65$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.3	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	55c	378.05$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.27	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over	48c	338.93$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.76	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	59c	311.97$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.52	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	52c	300.04$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.02	3,460	51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L	+107.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	47c	299.99$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	999	47.5%475 W · 524 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over	39c	260$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.18	2,149	50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over	47c	225.96$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.2	209	45%94 W · 115 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over	46c	209.4$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.38	520	45.2%235 W · 285 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Over	48c	201.75$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.84	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	151	59.6%90 W · 61 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under	54c	183.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.89	372	56.5%210 W · 162 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under	55c	180$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.3	451	49.2%222 W · 229 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	46c	143.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.01	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	46c	142.97$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.77	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over	48c	140$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.74	358	49.4%177 W · 181 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	42c	125.68$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.55	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over	46c	115.09$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.94	792	47.5%376 W · 416 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	47c	108$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.76	4,405	44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L	+80.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	50c	90.89$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	443	48.5%215 W · 228 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	48c	85.69$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	2,995	47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L	+12.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Under	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	296	56.1%166 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under	52c	79.85$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.22	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked Under	52c	53.6$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.9	142	59.2%84 W · 58 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	518	49.4%256 W · 262 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over	46c	50.1$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	274	54.4%149 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	49c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40a…aa48backed Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over	47c	45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	539	50.6%273 W · 266 L	+16.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Over	48c	45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	47c	45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	392	53.6%210 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over	48c	41.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	443	45.6%202 W · 241 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Over	49c	39.74$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	223	50.7%113 W · 110 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Over	49c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	392	50.3%197 W · 195 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over	41c	35.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	178	42.7%76 W · 102 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	46c	35.24$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	582	54.3%316 W · 266 L	+16.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd663…5624backed Under	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…a6fabacked Over	47c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	46c	29.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	2,413	49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L	+22.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	147	45.6%67 W · 80 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Over	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	66cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under	52c	24.15$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.59	536	44.6%239 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under	52c	22.75$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	170	51.8%88 W · 82 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Under	63c	16.76$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.2	110	52.7%58 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles DodgersBaltimore Orioles won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event