MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50b9ef5fe874c9594dd322d322f4da4e9dae2dbc3edbe24d66a55f114c687273
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Toronto Blue Jays, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 31,976$12,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,430.83 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 19,547$8,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,405 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 18,928$8,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,517.59 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 18,008$10,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,743.25 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 16,983$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.67 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 16,949$9,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,457.63 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 14,035$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.09 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 13,062$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.24 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 10,134$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.85 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 10,002$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.79 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 9,124$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.4 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 8,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 7,043$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.94 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 6,043$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.5 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 4,981$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.47 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 4,558$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 4,494$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.39 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 4,402$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,478$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.25 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…3f0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 3,106$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 2,900$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.74 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 2,827$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.49 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 2,514$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.66 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 2,362$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.47 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 2,300$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 2,286$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.89 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 2,095$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.75 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 1,979$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.88 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 1,948$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 1,844$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,844$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.8 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 1,823$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.85 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4688…c926backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,777$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 1,658$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 1,641$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,600$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.99 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,472$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.69 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,462$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.65 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,446$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,395$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.92 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,387$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.13 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 1,300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,283$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.07 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,281$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.81 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 1,242$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,217$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.48 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,168$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.42 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,150$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 1,067$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 1,052$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 990.67$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 980$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.85 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 978$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.54 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 977.74$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 964.96$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.58 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 855.54$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.66 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 836.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 790$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 739.98$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.84 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 739.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…f483backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 710.31$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 700$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.32 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 665$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 646.28$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 644.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 639.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 633$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.52 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 628.41$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 618.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 604.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 536.33$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 525$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 506.68$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.94 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 482$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 480$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.35 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 430.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 422.29$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.03 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 372.27$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 363.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 359.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 2.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.