MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba139634f45b000fa74c768e51e0ecf35af2aab72a1c89c3728423232191e005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Cincinnati Reds, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $655,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $655,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 301,972$108,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,690.07 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…0ec5backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 196,559$125,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,761.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 100,000$64,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 48,823$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 40,923$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 35,000$22,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 25,200$17,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,374 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 22,097$14,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,187.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 17,196$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.17 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 14,431$5,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.81 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 13,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 11,431$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.16 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 8,654$6,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.37 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 8,622$5,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.79 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 7,720$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.56 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 7,692$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.31 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 7,143$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.05 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 5,986$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.06 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.9 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 5,183$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.55 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 4,445$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.87 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 3,409$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.28 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 3,214$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 2,900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 2,881$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.67 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 2,769$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.49 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 2,569$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.53 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 2,520$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.99 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 2,392$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.31 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 2,071$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.88 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 1,891$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.36 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 1,733$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.08 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,705$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.8 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 1,673$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.93 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,584$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,329$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.87 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 1,228$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,208$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,026$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.98 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 939.83$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.34 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 846$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 842.26$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.07 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 804.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.78 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 779.96$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.41 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 772.21$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 770$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 750$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.25 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 726.29$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 685.35$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.95 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 653$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 651.13$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 624.75$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 617.53$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 610$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 600$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 581.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.54 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 535.7$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 498.24$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 468.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 467.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 463.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 454$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 439.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 432.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 414.74$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 369.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 350.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 344.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 338.46$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 325.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 322.89$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 322.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 313.43$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 312.88$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 312.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…91cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 305.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 304.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-6.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.