MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb3caafab31232e19dff6fc07c359015598f015d0d6c5e4754e3358e5313838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 43,419$23,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,012.14 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550.26 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 13,569$6,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,213.59 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 8,717$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.98 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,177$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 2,678$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.33 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,124$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.72 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,714$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.06 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 626.63$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 597$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 400.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.47 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 397.92$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 382.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.65 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 377.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 326.84$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 298.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 284.03$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 224.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 181$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 156.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 152$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 138$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 134$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 118.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 102.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 99.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 98.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 86.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 71.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 59.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 51.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 49.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 47.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 46.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 43.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 37.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 30.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…e861backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 26.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 22.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…1aabbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 21.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6f8fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-6.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.