MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bbb989108539129949b5f1b918175c7336c8685b03cdca185108e255b0f63bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f21…0ec5backed Under | 46c | 100,794$46,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,048.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 55c | 75,000$41,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,759.87 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 45c | 36,565$16,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,463.1 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 34,193$17,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,348.21 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 55c | 4,925$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.12 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 2,876$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.35 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Over | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 54c | 2,094$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.46 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.81 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Under | 44c | 1,420$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Over | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 55c | 1,230$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.07 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.92 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 954.56$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.05 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Under | 44c | 931.66$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 44c | 894.64$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.64 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 862.2$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.17 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Under | 47c | 779.59$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.41 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 57c | 747$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…e6f3backed Under | 59c | 717.92$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 53c | 669.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.89 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 452$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.05 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 49c | 443.94$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.53 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 428.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 373.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.64 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 55c | 364$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 56c | 287.21$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 39c | 231.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Over | 55c | 222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 55c | 218.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 47c | 212.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 40c | 203$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 50c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 55c | 196.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 188.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 55c | 178.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 178.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 50c | 141.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 47c | 137.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 130.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 54c | 120.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 48c | 105.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Over | 56c | 82.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…24a7backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…ee9cbacked Under | 44c | 71.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 49c | 70.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 44c | 64.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 48c | 61.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 62c | 56.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 56c | 53.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…3f51backed Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 53c | 50.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 34c | 49.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 56c | 48.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 56c | 47.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 50c | 44.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 60c | 43.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678a…ac4dbacked Under | 61c | 43.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…6939backed Over | 57c | 35.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 56c | 34.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 34.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 61c | 31.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 30.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over | 56c | 29.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 53c | 28.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 48c | 26.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 47c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 56c | 19.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-6.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.