MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2022af0bd69048df509824792af58d31355daace3725c3cf0471a04430c92ca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Cincinnati Reds, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 47,522$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 29,448$15,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,550.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 25,441$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 17,283$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,740.52 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 14,995$8,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,460.83 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 14,069$8,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,973.91 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 12,899$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.39 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 12,470$5,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,356.43 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 12,354$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 9,719$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.47 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 9,454$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,427.95 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 8,677$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 8,383$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.93 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 7,392$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.19 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 7,359$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 7,232$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 5,926$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 72c | 5,200$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.75 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 4,047$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.47 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 3,920$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.2 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 3,527$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.2 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 3,332$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.9 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 3,239$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 3,025$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,711$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,656$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,409$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.65 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 2,383$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.29 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 2,330$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.27 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 2,202$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,886$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.73 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,820$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.32 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,694$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.71 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 1,671$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.05 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 1,575$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 1,462$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.56 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…fcf7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,335$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 1,298$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.49 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,200$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.22 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 1,175$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,074$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.19 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 902.89$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.29 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 901.67$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.67 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 901.64$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.64 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 824.56$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.43 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 821.27$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.77 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 752$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 653.92$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.17 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 650$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 605.3$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 604.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.64 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 557.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.58 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 553.28$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.57 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 543$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…7bb0backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 533.09$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 532.39$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.48 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 517$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 10c | 466.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.92 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 457$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 446.38$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.08 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…f785backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 441.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 440$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 400$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 394.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 388.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.15 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 377.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 362.73$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.98 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 356$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 335.15$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 303.59$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Chicago Cubs | 27c | 291$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…a09cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 282.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…a087backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 279.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…42c3backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 248.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 248.14$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 243.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 237.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.