Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6105f134b950704a89c05ac22c93375e102bcea29e50e3a920a36baa6d492813

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $857,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $848,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $857,624 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 883 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4377…1764backed No	0c	87,191$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.19	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed No	1c	18,258$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.58	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	46c	16,778$7,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,045.16	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	30c	15,855$4,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,089.7	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	10c	12,750$1,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,517.1	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	55c	12,200$6,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,462.89	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	19c	10,516$1,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,522.33	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked No	2c	10,000$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.63	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	26c	9,080$2,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,759.97	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	32c	7,439$2,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,073.32	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	20c	6,809$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,428.57	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	27c	6,803$1,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,821.67	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	56c	6,365$3,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,804.8	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	50c	6,049$3,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,007.6	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	14c	5,572$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,791.53	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	18c	4,962$889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,072.92	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	51c	4,565$2,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,236.35	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	19c	4,535$845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,689.43	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	75c	4,477$3,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,342.41	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	47c	4,257$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,256.74	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	14c	4,236$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,662.01	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	23c	4,000$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,759.99	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	55c	3,772$2,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680.39	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	44c	3,735$1,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,657.29	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5001…bc10backed Yes	33c	3,718$1,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,476.44	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3a…4580backed Yes	63c	3,705$2,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,376.04	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5359…6b35backed Yes	37c	3,546$1,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,228.11	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	50c	3,533$1,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,748.98	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	37c	3,431$1,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,153.44	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	42c	3,381$1,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.6	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	70c	3,200$2,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.99	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	45c	3,169$1,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,736.93	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	10c	3,162$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.61	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	45c	3,121$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.28	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	42c	3,107$1,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,796.66	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	47c	3,100$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,628.53	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	37c	2,959$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,868.99	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	41c	2,939$1,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,733.62	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	20c	2,905$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,330	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	54c	2,649$1,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,207.01	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	23c	2,622$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,021.87	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	19c	2,551$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,076.09	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e6…d6cdbacked No	79c	2,546$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.63	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	23c	2,480$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,902.04	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed No	74c	2,467$1,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,824.02	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	69c	2,448$1,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680.69	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	21c	2,390$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,892	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	76c	2,316$1,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,766.24	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	80c	2,222$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777.6	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	17c	2,206$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,841.67	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	46c	2,119$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.28	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	24c	2,111$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,595.17	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	19c	2,100$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,699.98	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	75c	2,080$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553.32	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38d…83d6backed No	75c	2,061$1,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.53	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	16c	2,039$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,713.42	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	67c	2,030$1,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.28	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…1595backed No	1c	1,983$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	14cpaid	+81.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	17c	1,973$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,639.64	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	35c	1,966$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270.12	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	1,934$1,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.57	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	24c	1,912$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,451.8	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	41c	1,851$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.64	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	43c	1,842$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.91	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	51c	1,837$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$901.01	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	53c	1,812$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860.34	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	76c	1,751$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.85	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5393…966abacked Yes	6c	1,719$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,618.87	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+112.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	22c	1,660$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290.2	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f3…e493backed Yes	73c	1,600$1,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	49c	1,588$777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810.75	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf328…2b78backed Yes	62c	1,559$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.72	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b4e…128ebacked Yes	61c	1,535$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.27	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6858…7d47backed Yes	70c	1,500$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	9c	1,500$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,364.99	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…924ebacked Yes	67c	1,495$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.02	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	19c	1,489$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,212.93	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Yes	47c	1,457$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$768.41	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	24c	1,451$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.93	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf82f…8137backed Yes	45c	1,450$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$791.85	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a6…254ebacked Yes	54c	1,435$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ea…afc5backed Yes	52c	1,347$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.66	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2447…b60abacked No	78c	1,347$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.9	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	30c	1,333$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$934.74	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64cc…0da1backed Yes	21c	1,327$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046.63	111	18.9%21 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	19c	1,320$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.75	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe43d…3978backed Yes	66c	1,305$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444	200	25%50 W · 150 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	39c	1,300$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.41	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	67c	1,300$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.43	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8641…e3acbacked Yes	75c	1,288$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.82	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	24c	1,272$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.69	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed No	48c	1,261$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.9	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes	20c	1,255$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,005.48	80	20%16 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	58c	1,254$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.62	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	1,200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,108	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc7…e49abacked Yes	22c	1,157$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$906.9	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x028d…feccbacked Yes	52c	1,144$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.99	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	11c	1,142$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,012.64	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event