Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663eb815ca0dc5dd81d9a0059cb8f330c091acbdcda89e8921362c2146bc1991

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $758,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $496,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,748 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	99,999$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	46,491$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.87	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	20,000$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	5c	19,554$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.45	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	17,361$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.58	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	17,318$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.97	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	0c	16,757$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.77	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	17c	11,381$1,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,975.51	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	9,159$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.27	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	7,216$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.85	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	2c	7,000$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	8c	6,762$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.44	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	9c	6,356$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.22	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	8c	5,852$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.13	136	11.8%16 W · 120 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	1c	5,044$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.56	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	7c	5,017$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.72	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes	15c	4,947$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.84	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-6.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	4,408$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.43	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	15c	4,000$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.39	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	3,916$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.63	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	3,875$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.84	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	3,739$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.13	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	1c	3,700$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	3,569$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	11c	3,557$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.43	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	13c	3,495$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.32	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	19c	3,237$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	2,750$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,693$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.43	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	4c	2,638$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.16	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	8c	2,416$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	20c	2,412$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.7	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	22c	2,405$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.05	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	20c	2,271$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.14	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	2,165$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.43	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	12c	2,131$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.08	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	21c	2,044$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.65	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	1c	2,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	22c	2,000$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.98	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	1,909$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.08	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,900$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.59	578	11.4%66 W · 512 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	19c	1,848$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.28	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	7c	1,756$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.41	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	9c	1,615$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.86	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes	4c	1,534$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	78c	1,511$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.9	136	16.2%22 W · 114 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a5…e6dbbacked Yes	13c	1,511$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	9c	1,500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	17c	1,440$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.17	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	1,357$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.28	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	7c	1,322$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.72	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	1,319$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.34	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	10c	1,310$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes	20c	1,261$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3359…683bbacked Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes	15c	1,208$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.23	80	20%16 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	15c	1,208$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7df…0723backed Yes	8c	1,134$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.98	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x736e…ae9cbacked Yes	2c	1,111$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-61%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	1,086$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.55	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	1,077$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.64	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa624…8f7abacked Yes	7c	1,066$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.91	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	8c	1,032$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.85	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	13c	999.89$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.61	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	10c	967.6$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.76	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	9c	949.96$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.66	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	78c	924.9$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.95	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	79c	920.7$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.43	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	5c	919$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.05	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…d830backed Yes	10c	910$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.79	160	17.5%28 W · 132 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	22c	895.51$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.73	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	18c	886.92$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.82	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	15c	865.06$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed No	79c	864.58$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.04	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	16c	852.25$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.21	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	12c	835.6$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.13	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…486cbacked Yes	9c	800$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.1	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	15c	780.23$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.97	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	10c	765.34$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.1	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2923…77d5backed Yes	9c	750$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.94	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes	10c	741.39$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.38	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	13c	724.41$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.14	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	5c	715.89$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.36	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	700$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	700$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	5c	663.97$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…031ebacked Yes	3c	655.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	22c	649.77$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.78	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	78c	633.89$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.86	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	16c	633$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	8c	613.83$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.1	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked No	80c	600$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.41	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	9c	582.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x248a…22a7backed Yes	17c	579.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…b296backed Yes	9c	578.78$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.63	360	18.9%68 W · 292 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event