Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x267975d92c61b90f2f11fd3caeef468bb8ffaf574c46adee92f9ce4118ac8dc4

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $770,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $652,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $770,717 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	0c	39,999$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	21c	15,521$3,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,185.6	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	60c	13,509$8,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,074.47	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	11c	12,900$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.62	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	0c	12,699$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.61	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	1c	11,500$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.5	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	13c	11,272$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e63…e35cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	54c	9,582$5,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,172.43	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	9c	8,500$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.5	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	27c	7,897$2,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,148.41	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	40c	6,745$2,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,019.96	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	18c	6,736$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.03	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	73c	6,584$4,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,791.02	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	6,524$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.04	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	76c	6,412$4,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,528.23	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	21c	6,349$1,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,301.91	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Yes	17c	5,980$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.08	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked No	42c	5,634$2,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,292.61	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes	0c	5,369$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	4c	5,287$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.52	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	55c	5,279$2,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,915.79	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	43c	5,159$2,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,208.3	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	23c	5,138$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,165.21	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	31c	5,000$1,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,536.99	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	13c	4,982$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.89	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	8c	4,833$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.4	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	39c	4,739$1,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853.18	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	35c	4,512$1,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,594.64	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	38c	4,491$1,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,713.3	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked No	37c	4,339$1,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,716.61	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	16cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	20c	4,336$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.61	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064b…eae5backed No	27c	4,277$1,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,109.36	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	51c	4,270$2,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,171.43	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	12c	4,269$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.46	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	72c	4,218$3,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,201.59	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	43c	3,639$1,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,582.44	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	34c	3,633$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.89	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	71c	3,567$2,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,537.49	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes	40c	3,549$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,432.18	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	40c	3,449$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.83	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	4c	3,300$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea8…36efbacked Yes	76c	3,284$2,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,479.61	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	44c	3,263$1,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,834.49	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	8c	3,179$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked No	61c	3,079$1,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,190.5	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	27c	3,043$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.74	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed No	45c	2,575$1,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,425.69	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	49c	2,500$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,217.17	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913f…c676backed No	77c	2,370$1,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.89	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc49…5609backed Yes	4c	2,259$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	56c	2,251$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.8	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	48c	2,196$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,147.04	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	66c	2,177$1,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.75	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	2,165$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	2,154$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.08	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4e…128ebacked Yes	41c	2,120$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	63c	2,015$1,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.34	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes	29c	2,001$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.3	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	10c	2,000$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.77	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	66c	1,955$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	60c	1,925$1,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.78	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	62c	1,907$1,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.08	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	62c	1,838$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146.4	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	17c	1,801$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	76c	1,728$1,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.71	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	4c	1,700$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	66c	1,678$1,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.46	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	1,670$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.18	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes	33c	1,647$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.98	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	6c	1,639$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	29c	1,609$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.12	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked No	75c	1,600$1,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.47	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	5c	1,582$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.47	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8641…e3acbacked Yes	76c	1,540$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.51	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	67c	1,534$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.3	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	14c	1,507$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.8	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	1,500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.47	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	9c	1,480$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.45	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	46c	1,466$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.01	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	17c	1,443$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.8	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked Yes	5c	1,400$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes	3c	1,399$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.67	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	36c	1,366$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.12	218	57.8%126 W · 92 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked No	36c	1,335$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.86	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	12c	1,328$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.58	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	32c	1,294$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.19	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	13c	1,281$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc831…0111backed Yes	32c	1,275$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.43	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	4c	1,231$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.06	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x017b…1ef4backed No	36c	1,211$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.44	78	20.5%16 W · 62 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	50c	1,201$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.84	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	7c	1,200$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.65	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,181$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.23	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	5c	1,167$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	12c	1,121$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.61	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes	2c	1,100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	182	18.7%34 W · 148 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	41c	1,100$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.45	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60d7…e874backed Yes	3c	1,098$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.76	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa547…95ebbacked Yes	67c	1,095$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.02	30	80%24 W · 6 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event