Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b5dfc170c3ac17fdddf2e12f89cd51433283e3a518aa3321d7c3ef7e684439

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $382,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $155,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,331 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	19,071$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.91	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	13,489$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.96	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes	1c	11,111$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.11	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+1,823.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	1c	10,000$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	7,105$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.31	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	6,583$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.15	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	2c	6,234$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.89	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	0c	5,824$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	0c	4,950$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	0c	4,712$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	4,000$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.72	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	13c	3,000$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	16c	2,854$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.65	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	3c	2,711$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.24	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	2,507$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	12c	2,490$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.19	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,261$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	3c	2,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	2,000$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.5	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	6c	1,999$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.23	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	4c	1,849$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.36	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81d5…46f4backed Yes	3c	1,700$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.6	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	1,690$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.77	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	3c	1,666$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.36	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	1,572$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	1c	1,455$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	11c	1,453$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.24	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	12c	1,420$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.07	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	1,400$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x526d…3d46backed Yes	2c	1,400$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	15c	1,393$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.97	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	1,333$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.77	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	13c	1,300$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	6c	1,300$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.6	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	12c	1,300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	15c	1,298$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,267$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	1,246$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	2c	1,228$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	3c	1,177$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.13	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	8c	1,176$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	9c	1,147$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.2	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	7c	1,130$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.68	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	10c	1,011$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.64	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc92…cc39backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x193a…35c0backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	95	5.3%5 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299a…3576backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	1c	999.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5001…bc10backed Yes	14c	999.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	4c	999.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	10c	999.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	10c	997.13$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.69	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	980$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.81	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	11c	941.91$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.28	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	7c	846.9$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.47	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac1…db0ebacked Yes	2c	790.17$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	20cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc7…e49abacked Yes	16c	721.39$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.18	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	15c	720.92$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.91	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e8…c488backed Yes	14c	719.51$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.73	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	6c	699.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64cc…0da1backed Yes	11c	672.43$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	111	18.9%21 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	15c	667.22$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6904…ea7ebacked Yes	5c	645.96$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.31	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	8c	640.67$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.33	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	12c	635.45$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.19	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	17c	621.18$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.44	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	605.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	9c	600$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	10c	591.19$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.44	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	3c	590.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed8…2e77backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	11c	538.76$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.88	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	7c	535.7$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	3c	510$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.77	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…a9ddbacked Yes	3c	500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	57	5.3%3 W · 54 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	10c	499.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	14c	499.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	11c	482.72$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.1	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	9c	450$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	8c	449.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	3c	439.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a28…1df7backed Yes	11c	436.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	180	24.4%44 W · 136 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	15c	432.16$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf931…e064backed Yes	13c	431.7$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes	3c	413.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.84	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	10c	406.59$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeded…4dcabacked Yes	15c	400$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.3	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes	16c	400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	80	20%16 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x744a…0ea8backed Yes	12c	399.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	9c	370.4$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.34	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes	15c	369.2$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.38	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3915…74b2backed Yes	4c	368.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…f5c9backed Yes	4c	368.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdad…d669backed Yes	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event