Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeee1f6f38ce03e48834594ef028c6947cf817482379269d42ae6a91f954f60d1

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $248,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $121,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,620 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	12,520$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.1	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	1c	9,735$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.94	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	8,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf461…061cbacked Yes	3c	6,511$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.23	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	6,057$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.55	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	5,000$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.5	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	4,999$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.81	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	2c	3,151$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.54	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	11c	3,054$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.5	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	3,000$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	11c	3,000$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	2,606$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.89	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	7c	2,463$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.63	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x248a…22a7backed Yes	13c	1,862$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	2c	1,851$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.35	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	3c	1,839$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.94	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	1,819$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.73	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5001…bc10backed Yes	13c	1,692$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.24	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x526d…3d46backed Yes	1c	1,600$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	1,593$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.74	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,422$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	11c	1,415$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.17	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	8c	1,300$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc92…cc39backed Yes	1c	1,254$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	13c	1,222$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.79	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6e…4ec7backed Yes	2c	1,167$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	1,161$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.17	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	8c	1,147$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.01	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	12c	1,100$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	14c	1,100$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	12c	1,065$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.86	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	6c	1,053$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.52	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	9c	1,026$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.33	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	6c	1,021$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.78	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	5c	995.53$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.24	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…486cbacked Yes	9c	989.57$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.73	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	6c	909.23$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.46	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes	12c	806.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	9c	730$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.7	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	7c	720$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e8…c488backed Yes	14c	719.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…4cc5backed Yes	3c	713.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1045…a02fbacked Yes	13c	713.47$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	11c	709.82$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.57	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	700$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	7c	636.1$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.33	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0898…9a5bbacked Yes	6c	600$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	98	15.3%15 W · 83 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes	13c	549.98$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.78	212	33%70 W · 142 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	10c	543.04$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.37	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3176…3990backed Yes	2c	529.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	8cpaid	+66.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	518.78$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.89	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	4c	479.17$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	14c	464.07$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.75	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	3c	459.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	13c	422.9$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.98	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeded…4dcabacked Yes	10c	410$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.55	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes	13c	400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	373.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3915…74b2backed Yes	6c	355.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	4c	354.19$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	9c	349.92$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.69	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed Yes	5c	347.66$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x219f…dbd9backed Yes	3c	336$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes	11c	324.9$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.7	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.23	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8353…c9cdbacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	65	6.2%4 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842e…6ff9backed Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+62%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	12c	300$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744a…0ea8backed Yes	6c	300$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	10c	296.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.71	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf88…0343backed Yes	10c	295.93$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9139…9b5bbacked Yes	4c	280$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x271f…b8ebbacked Yes	11c	260.05$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.05	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	11c	258.61$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.19	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa624…8f7abacked Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x582c…eb16backed Yes	13c	250$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	116	13.8%16 W · 100 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9b…1060backed Yes	9c	250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	6cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255e…a4cdbacked Yes	10c	235.76$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ec…7c22backed Yes	13c	229.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	6c	227.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	12c	220.28$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb323…d791backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-41%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b89…e6d7backed Yes	11c	191$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3954…4ccabacked Yes	8c	188.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	11c	175$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	7c	158.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	11c	156$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fc…1ab9backed Yes	8c	137.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	10c	136.36$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc77…08a4backed Yes	12c	130.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.61	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b4d…2adbbacked Yes	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x107c…a071backed Yes	14c	123.51$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	59	20.3%12 W · 47 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event