Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb20a3677ac758c4fb306468d76a344d7ff4fed7b805e8a6ad64cf0ce9f240a69

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $194,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $88,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,384 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	17,791$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.68	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	8,206$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.38	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	6,373$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.69	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	3c	4,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	3,415$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	0c	3,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	2,650$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.62	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	4c	2,023$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.55	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	2,000$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	2,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes	3c	1,938$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	4c	1,799$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.88	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	6c	1,670$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.84	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	1,612$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	4c	1,587$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.53	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…27efbacked Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	5cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	8c	1,163$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.77	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	1,131$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	1,100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	4c	1,094$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.22	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	1,093$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.23	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	1,079$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.59	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	2c	1,030$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.03	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	998.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	10c	900$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa08b…238cbacked Yes	12c	879.47$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	4c	800$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	783.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	756.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	5c	753.13$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.26	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	12c	700$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	685.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.26	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2275…c88bbacked Yes	4c	640.92$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	610.16$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f0…469cbacked Yes	11c	558.94$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c5…2cb2backed Yes	5c	556.67$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.89	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	531.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	10c	510.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.03	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf4…0af7backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	12c	499.94$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.29	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582c…eb16backed Yes	6c	494.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	116	13.8%16 W · 100 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…47a4backed Yes	14c	466.72$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.19	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-4.4wins	-0.19per pick	28cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	2c	443.04$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…486cbacked Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.9	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed8…2e77backed Yes	14c	361.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	360.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	12c	351.87$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed Yes	4c	349.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	13c	345$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.85	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…d78bbacked Yes	12c	327$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.53	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6e…a1ebbacked Yes	12c	308.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	9c	301.32$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.88	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	12c	300.37$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.92	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81d5…46f4backed Yes	13c	300.08$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.61	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	140	26.4%37 W · 103 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x526d…3d46backed Yes	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0f9f…0ad6backed Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	86	9.3%8 W · 78 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes	9c	281.88$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.88	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes	8c	272.78$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.32	80	20%16 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	4c	269.87$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	6c	267.82$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x193a…35c0backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	95	5.3%5 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	5c	230$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes	9c	221.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…6bc6backed Yes	12c	209.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f05…ba7bbacked Yes	15c	206.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x366c…ec01backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+107.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e43…b356backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	178	18.5%33 W · 145 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…5aebbacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce3…1f93backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53fb…e92abacked Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	7c	194.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f6…311abacked Yes	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	25%4 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes	10c	161$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.27	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	12c	158$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0a…ec90backed Yes	10c	145$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e35…8139backed Yes	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ec…7c22backed Yes	10c	112.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73b5…e8a3backed Yes	13c	107.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	92	18.5%17 W · 75 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9c…54f8backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9139…9b5bbacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x028d…feccbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x744a…0ea8backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bc…e100backed Yes	12c	96.92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa769…8a2abacked Yes	12c	91.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68aa…ea5ebacked Yes	12c	90$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	39cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x812b…8facbacked Yes	13c	84.62$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event