Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x748a2eef59034d4c6b905055195a85d3ade9d287b4602f0fb7f76f824b501127

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $956,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $579,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,987 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	3c	61,085$2,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,044.63	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	40,212$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.76	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	8c	26,025$2,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,193.95	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	24,260$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.02	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	20,247$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.22	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	16,949$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.28	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	2c	16,612$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.75	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	16,034$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.47	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	26c	15,166$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	13c	13,612$1,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,727.26	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	13,361$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.95	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	12,603$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.01	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	10,939$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.78	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	10,748$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.4	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	7c	10,741$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.92	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	2c	10,534$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.26	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	10,374$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	4c	6,788$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.01	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	9c	6,327$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.75	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	6,271$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.81	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	1c	6,243$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.59	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	1c	6,201$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	5,500$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.9	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	15c	5,489$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.63	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	1c	5,444$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.27	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	2c	5,360$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.46	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	2c	5,205$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.63	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	8c	5,037$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.17	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	5,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	5,000$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	4,897$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.36	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	4,607$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.22	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	4,600$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.3	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	8c	4,550$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.52	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	2c	4,500$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.75	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	4,495$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.16	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked No	71c	4,247$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,247.2	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	9c	4,136$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.2	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	5c	4,134$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	4c	4,120$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.51	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	15c	4,011$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.94	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	5c	3,937$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.32	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes	15c	3,850$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.55	204	32.4%66 W · 138 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	4c	3,678$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfae…9dedbacked Yes	24c	3,436$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826.17	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	3,300$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	1c	3,269$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.67	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	3,188$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.07	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	3c	3,182$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.14	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,122$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.18	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	3,105$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.03	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	2c	3,063$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,049$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.25	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	3,040$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.48	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	1c	3,001$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	1c	3,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	4c	2,974$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.21	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	1c	2,879$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.61	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	1c	2,836$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.84	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	7c	2,809$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.99	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	73c	2,747$2,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.73	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	9c	2,728$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.72	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	17c	2,648$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.72	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	17c	2,620$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.71	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	1c	2,566$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.65	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	2c	2,500$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.02	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	15c	2,279$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.77	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…179abacked Yes	3c	2,238$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.9	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3c…1a17backed Yes	9c	2,207$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.44	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-90.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	11c	2,200$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.83	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	2c	2,170$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.64	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	2c	2,097$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.68	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08ab…cbc4backed Yes	1c	2,091$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	22c	2,061$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.91	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	13c	2,058$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.67	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes	16c	2,014$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.2	50	24%12 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	1c	2,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	1c	2,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	3c	1,937$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea2…3265backed Yes	4c	1,931$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.96	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	1c	1,911$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.29	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	6c	1,908$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.99	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	2c	1,875$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	9c	1,865$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.23	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	2c	1,805$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.76	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	77c	1,795$1,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.13	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	1,792$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.41	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	9c	1,746$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	6c	1,734$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.24	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	5c	1,732$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.64	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	3c	1,724$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.63	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	11c	1,698$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.12	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f8…6c44backed Yes	3c	1,693$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.69	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	2c	1,674$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.45	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	2c	1,627$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0085…c983backed Yes	2c	1,623$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	26c	1,608$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.86	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6aa…132abacked Yes	1c	1,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+57%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	9c	1,477$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.15	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…1408backed Yes	11c	1,455$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.9	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event