Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x763cb705f626c9eb8886a412df31e035e5d4c85b8f2f66717f4ed783795d4a8a

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $597,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $528,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,936 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	52c	20,345$10,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,632.24	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	22c	20,099$4,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,383.67	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	16c	12,526$2,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,031.75	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	10,281$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.99	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	39c	8,646$3,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,347.3	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	24c	8,500$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.99	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	70c	7,193$5,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.38	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	14c	6,424$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.27	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	58c	5,877$3,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,392.74	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	52c	5,149$2,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,683.31	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	52c	5,099$2,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,627.33	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	21c	5,006$1,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,957.67	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked No	14c	4,513$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,872.78	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	74c	4,169$3,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,074.32	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	59c	4,121$2,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,423.32	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	41c	3,836$1,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,572.8	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e6…d6cdbacked No	70c	3,582$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.04	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No	56c	3,429$1,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.88	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	20c	3,427$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.92	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	23c	3,354$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.46	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…1305backed No	55c	3,347$1,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,493.44	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	68c	3,260$2,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,211.97	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	37c	3,167$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,159.62	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dd…cfccbacked Yes	75c	3,060$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	77cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	3c	2,980$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.28	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed No	62c	2,955$1,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.61	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes	11c	2,920$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.46	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	49c	2,866$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,394.38	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	2,862$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.24	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	28c	2,852$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.39	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	15c	2,751$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.18	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	40c	2,670$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,588.83	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	7c	2,641$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.49	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	47c	2,601$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.45	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	65c	2,549$1,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.08	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	50c	2,517$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.16	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	2,500$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.69	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	20c	2,493$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.74	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	16c	2,325$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.17	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	47c	2,295$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.82	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	52c	2,223$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.43	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064b…eae5backed No	16c	2,198$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,836.16	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed No	53c	2,155$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.9	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed No	13c	2,128$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,848.44	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+57%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8eb1…743ebacked Yes	34c	2,118$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.59	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	8c	2,034$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.94	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	15c	2,000$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes	59c	1,935$1,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,151.4	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	41c	1,934$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.15	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed No	73c	1,888$1,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.88	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	27c	1,841$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.55	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	20c	1,836$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.42	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4f61…2680backed Yes	15c	1,777$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.89	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	28c	1,740$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,256.65	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	20c	1,686$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.98	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	72c	1,601$1,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.66	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	1,569$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.86	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	19c	1,537$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.53	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	34c	1,516$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008.02	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	12c	1,480$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,295.37	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	69c	1,461$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.1	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	1,426$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.89	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	66c	1,407$926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.31	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	53c	1,384$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.26	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	65c	1,336$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.77	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	5c	1,301$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	62c	1,277$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.44	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	31c	1,273$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No	52c	1,249$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.71	100	52%52 W · 48 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	16c	1,248$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	25c	1,246$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.8	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes	16c	1,200$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	43c	1,183$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.83	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc3…7d0abacked Yes	9c	1,157$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked No	38c	1,142$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.72	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	71c	1,134$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	77c	1,091$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.16	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked No	24c	1,090$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.62	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	63c	1,087$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.2	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed No	22c	1,074$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.03	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked No	39c	1,073$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed Yes	1c	1,068$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4198…7be2backed Yes	2c	1,026$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	32c	1,005$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.75	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…2dddbacked Yes	68c	1,000$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.6	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	75c	999.99$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	50c	984.64$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.98	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed No	22c	954.23$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.62	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	3c	948.53$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.95	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	29c	947.19$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.58	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	33c	918.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x186c…f982backed No	51c	916.29$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.75	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No	29c	900$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641	131	61.8%81 W · 50 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	17c	886.51$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	36c	884.64$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.93	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	12c	882.05$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	10c	881.15$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.01	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	23c	866.78$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.48	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	62c	845.8$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.6	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event