China Taiwan · resolved market

Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8845e555fb718dd0c75c81beeaeb672eefd93f5105cff86018bfcb88479bcd5

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,295 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	3c	9,444$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.3	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5207…686bbacked No	34c	1,801$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,181.75	25	84%21 W · 4 L	+9.7wins	+0.39per pick	45cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	72+0.19 edge/pick
0x5874…6b11backed No	41c	1,154$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.51	11	100%11 W · 0 L	+5.4wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+413.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked No	36c	1,035$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.08	10	100%10 W · 0 L	+5.7wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+216%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfc23…6043backed No	78c	906.08$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.38	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	43c	831.03$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.71	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	18cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	50c	827.63$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.47	9	100%9 W · 0 L	+4.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+135.5%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed No	42c	813.87$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.07	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x526e…7c43backed Yes	38c	734.91$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.84	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.28per pick	58cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a17…2a51backed Yes	68c	732.56$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes	60c	588.67$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked No	73c	554.95$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.39	16	87.5%14 W · 2 L	+6.9wins	+0.43per pick	44cpaid	+154.9%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes	17c	540.99$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.63	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe350…c0c8backed No	43c	525.69$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.64	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeaaf…20c0backed Yes	42c	469.52$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-4.1wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed No	73c	408.27$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-32%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No	68c	399.99$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+3.3wins	+0.24per pick	41cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2cf…3ea6backed No	70c	386.37$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.11	9	100%9 W · 0 L	+3.1wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes	34c	378.3$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	45cpaid	-67%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Yes	56c	356.15$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-4.2wins	-0.52per pick	65cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed No	62c	353.5$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.67	18	94.4%17 W · 1 L	+7.5wins	+0.42per pick	53cpaid	+107.6%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2f93…6197backed Yes	29c	353.24$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Yes	35c	351.03$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.02	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-4.3wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Yes	45c	348.99$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.65	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x645a…fd84backed No	50c	326.17$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.17	37	78.4%29 W · 8 L	+7.9wins	+0.21per pick	57cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes	13c	324$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.12	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0243…4ce7backed No	39c	323.39$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.61per pick	39cpaid	+155.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	41c	323$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.46	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf780…be2cbacked Yes	69c	319.7$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b40…9624backed Yes	69c	293.57$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.88	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.42per pick	62cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No	58c	290.42$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.31	11	100%11 W · 0 L	+4.2wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+70.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed No	70c	286.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.91	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	59c	276.1$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.9	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	39c	258.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.35	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb092…08fdbacked Yes	57c	256.01$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.46	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-4.1wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No	47c	254.72$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.44	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+4.3wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+137.4%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9e92…6929backed Yes	39c	249.98$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ff…5b03backed No	68c	230.26$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.25	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.8wins	+0.29per pick	48cpaid	+79.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No	55c	229.09$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a85…bb09backed Yes	63c	229.05$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x569f…5561backed No	79c	211.99$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.28	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+2.9wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	32c	204$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.72	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3068…083dbacked No	68c	202.51$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.89	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8434…55fcbacked No	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945f…8125backed Yes	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Yes	49c	200$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.9	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5202…7975backed Yes	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf20a…642fbacked Yes	60c	199.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	60c	199.99$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.99	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	67c	189.35$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.79	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed Yes	63c	187.01$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.82	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf76…c5f8backed No	35c	185.6$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.37	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+184.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d5…47b6backed Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-5.1wins	-0.47per pick	56cpaid	-88%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb5b6…1fdabacked No	56c	178.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.22	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.31per pick	49cpaid	+69%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3000…9eb1backed Yes	57c	174.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.14	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-55%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24da…02c6backed No	59c	172.19$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.77	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8295…610cbacked Yes	48c	167.91$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.09	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	34c	165$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.73	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8212…5933backed Yes	36c	150$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.04	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…397dbacked No	74c	149.11$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.11	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.4wins	+0.19per pick	54cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa448…9eeebacked No	70c	142.32$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.32	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed No	44c	130$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.8	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes	18c	129.9$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	54c	127.92$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.89	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	40c	119.68$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.81	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.9wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	31c	117.83$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.88	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1232…6158backed Yes	31c	117.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b2…7740backed Yes	32c	109.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b4c…22c0backed Yes	43c	104.12$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x897a…4194backed No	48c	103.23$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.11	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+4.2wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+152.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes	54c	101.87$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.01	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-3.9wins	-0.28per pick	42cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8196…ab69backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	+91.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…78d0backed Yes	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.15	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf1…0089backed Yes	33c	99.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.12	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8706…0587backed No	51c	97$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5612…10b0backed No	68c	95.94$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.95	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	67cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a06…8d9dbacked No	32c	95.11$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.11	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	33cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafc9…4256backed Yes	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	54c	93.71$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fab…14a3backed Yes	65c	92$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0144…3f4cbacked No	32c	86.84$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.68per pick	32cpaid	+215.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No	65c	86$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.26	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+4.5wins	+0.41per pick	50cpaid	+117.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed No	37c	81.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.77	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+78.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c97…5de2backed Yes	62c	80.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.75	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.3wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3cd1…099ebacked Yes	27c	80$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe012…9b81backed No	39c	76.92$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.61per pick	39cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec9…ec5ebacked No	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e21…04ffbacked No	66c	75.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.7	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2e…d3cabacked Yes	45c	73.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.29	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x87d1…3da3backed No	69c	71.72$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9292…2cd1backed Yes	49c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9950…c0b1backed Yes	57c	69.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.4wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480f…7c91backed No	74c	66.22$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f1…8232backed Yes	46c	65.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3333…6bc6backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1042…b38cbacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d7…fdbfbacked No	65c	61.91$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.89	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	59cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa652…b069backed Yes	33c	60.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes	52c	59.94$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.87	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-3.2wins	-0.32per pick	62cpaid	-59%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe178…1613backed Yes	68c	58.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-2.1wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event