China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73a62c311eb451ee57b497d7ca9dcc8bd6d83a0b65800b9a1b83c5892e374c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 1c | 5,518$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5612…10b0backed No | 77c | 2,212$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x411a…5a86backed Yes | 1c | 1,923$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,900$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.93 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 23cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,758$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,219$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.31 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 68c | 1,051$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.72 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +9.7wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 72+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 3c | 842.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 75c | 779.97$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 778.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 74c | 764.82$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +413.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +196.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 25c | 442.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 74c | 399.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94e7…a5c3backed Yes | 13c | 398.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 21c | 388.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 72c | 380.16$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…9eaebacked Yes | 27c | 371.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 24c | 339.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…ceffbacked Yes | 12c | 307.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…4d05backed Yes | 15c | 275.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…f25fbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 76c | 249.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…dfc2backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +683.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked No | 77c | 189.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…a709backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Yes | 23c | 164.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 153$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 16c | 146.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 24c | 138.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yes | 24c | 132.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 79c | 124.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…893cbacked No | 16c | 122.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.47per pick | 17cpaid | +365.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 26c | 115.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes | 26c | 111$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…ffa9backed Yes | 28c | 108.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…5d39backed Yes | 24c | 103.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…6900backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…7148backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 25c | 99.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +8.3wins | +0.38per pick | 53cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…a3dbbacked No | 75c | 99.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…4889backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 76c | 77.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…7975backed Yes | 26c | 75.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…be0abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…b379backed Yes | 30c | 72.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 33c | 66.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…2d3cbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…e6d2backed No | 76c | 61.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…8996backed No | 72c | 54.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…864bbacked No | 77c | 47.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 50cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd850…e26cbacked No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed Yes | 28c | 36.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5856…a221backed No | 74c | 35.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 76c | 30.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…deb0backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 75c | 27.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…3bc2backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…b8a0backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…1f87backed No | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 73c | 25.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 75c | 25.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 74c | 23.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…0719backed No | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed No | 74c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…fdbfbacked No | 77c | 20.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…05a8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed No | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…f983backed No | 72c | 18.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…7a43backed No | 74c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.