China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41ff3b15ac657b73f26b799068b9d3fb6cf0cd4d9f926d247bddb5c4e4c2213d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 1c | 8,711$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 64c | 1,061$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.32 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Yes | 34c | 871.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 54c | 867.65$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.03 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 36c | 699.94$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.99 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 23cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 32c | 460$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b84…953abacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked No | 65c | 286.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 45c | 251.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 28c | 188.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 58c | 180.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…e098backed Yes | 35c | 172.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…bb30backed No | 65c | 154.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Yes | 35c | 143.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed No | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…47b6backed Yes | 36c | 138.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -5.1wins | -0.47per pick | 56cpaid | -88%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 56c | 128.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked Yes | 34c | 126.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…5d15backed No | 67c | 124.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +192.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…0d4ebacked No | 79c | 115.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…dfc2backed No | 50c | 105.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +683.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 105.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…0089backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 22c | 99.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…096bbacked Yes | 15c | 97.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…2fd5backed Yes | 16c | 92.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…8767backed Yes | 23c | 85.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 31c | 80.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…610cbacked No | 77c | 77.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 51c | 76.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.3wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked Yes | 20c | 73.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…ab1dbacked Yes | 16c | 68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…3ea6backed No | 80c | 63.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 71c | 60.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…dcbbbacked Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f8…e72ebacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…30a2backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 38c | 53.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 39c | 51.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…893cbacked No | 20c | 51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.47per pick | 17cpaid | +365.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 51c | 50.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e5…649cbacked Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd024…126fbacked Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fac…efcfbacked No | 61c | 43.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +328.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe46…cc5cbacked No | 80c | 42.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…5f01backed No | 60c | 41.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 48cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…3941backed No | 79c | 41.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 43c | 38.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd850…e26cbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed No | 56c | 36.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked Yes | 48c | 34.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bf…7780backed No | 69c | 33.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361d…51f0backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…bfe7backed No | 49c | 30.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Yes | 37c | 30.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…fdbfbacked No | 69c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0b…5907backed Yes | 52c | 28.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 59c | 26.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +413.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…3bc2backed No | 79c | 25.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 69c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 20.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 53c | 20.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…886ebacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…9a65backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…043abacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…05a8backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacfd…6e01backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…a4e5backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…01d3backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 79c | 19.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…6075backed Yes | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?this page
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
- Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.