China Taiwan · resolved market

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x361ac4c6afcfa59be28ceb4ee9a23e4f12057d5e876b00c498a526ef560d50a9

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,279 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7faa…a369backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked Yes	74c	6,987$5,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,834.28	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-77.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	27c	6,977$1,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,889.47	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e07…a5b0backed No	0c	5,231$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9010…d06fbacked No	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	10cpaid	+84.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed No	1c	1,933$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.12	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec72…ed14backed No	2c	1,885$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No	14c	1,861$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.25	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked No	46c	1,650$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.15	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+4.6wins	+0.24per pick	39cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xab41…7c64backed No	2c	1,148$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c7…e4b0backed No	3c	957.97$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604a…d5f8backed No	2c	920.59$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.41	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…b428backed No	46c	873.39$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9bfcbacked No	2c	747.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	58c	662.77$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.84	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-4.2wins	-0.35per pick	43cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x165e…f5aabacked No	33c	554.97$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.14	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+4.2wins	+0.46per pick	43cpaid	+140.2%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x14a9…98b0backed Yes	46c	436.18$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed No	3c	435.77$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+221.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes	50c	396.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.19	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	45cpaid	-67%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb59…e21dbacked Yes	79c	384.93$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes	58c	377.85$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.7	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79f4…4afbbacked No	16c	374.34$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.36	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+3.2wins	+0.32per pick	28cpaid	+101.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a4d…dcadbacked No	52c	356.73$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	58c	345.06$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.06	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe350…c0c8backed No	39c	305$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x526e…7c43backed Yes	57c	263.12$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.74	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.28per pick	58cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dd3…ccacbacked No	28c	259.84$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.16	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.39per pick	27cpaid	+158%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbcc5…aa4bbacked Yes	78c	256.22$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.22	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-2.0wins	-0.49per pick	74cpaid	-68%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No	24c	254.7$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.18	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b72…beddbacked No	24c	254.12$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.99	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.8wins	+0.55per pick	25cpaid	+228.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12e4…dfc2backed No	8c	253.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+5.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+683.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x389a…397dbacked Yes	64c	250.18$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.18	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.4wins	+0.19per pick	54cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	5c	243.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	56	8.9%5 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Yes	80c	226.2$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.2	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-4.2wins	-0.52per pick	65cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x447e…2372backed Yes	45c	221.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.9	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	37cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed No	45c	221.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e21…04ffbacked No	49c	203.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…0d4ebacked Yes	67c	200.61$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.94	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-5.6wins	-0.19per pick	23cpaid	-94.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb3af…71b5backed Yes	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	39cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43b7…0c40backed Yes	72c	200$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.25per pick	59cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes	64c	199.88$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.96	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-74%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c5…54f2backed Yes	51c	197.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed No	35c	187.33$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.04	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+5.0wins	+0.20per pick	24cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14a3…b394backed No	30c	173$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.11	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.33per pick	42cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	40c	160$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fff…0ee9backed Yes	64c	156.36$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	75c	154.8$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9da…9a0cbacked Yes	73c	150$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	74cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x274a…45e5backed Yes	50c	149.95$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.73	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.26per pick	42cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ab…ecf7backed Yes	69c	144.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.7wins	-0.45per pick	62cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	29c	135.88$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.07	127	7.9%10 W · 117 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d5…47b6backed Yes	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-5.1wins	-0.47per pick	56cpaid	-88%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No	25c	130.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.75	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+4.5wins	+0.41per pick	50cpaid	+117.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x21d3…fe6fbacked Yes	77c	127.04$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	63cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…29c3backed No	53c	126.33$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.72	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed No	41c	123.71$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e81…864bbacked No	13c	121.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	49c	118.25$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.9	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed No	23c	111.4$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e31…454dbacked Yes	67c	100.52$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.17	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.33per pick	53cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	36c	100.01$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-7.5wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9bf1…0089backed Yes	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.16	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d0…c8c9backed Yes	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed Yes	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630f…9f59backed Yes	54c	99.99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed No	30c	99.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5197…0ce6backed No	21c	97.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48b…aedbbacked Yes	61c	97.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.46	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…50c1backed No	26c	96.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	38c	93.48$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.91	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb978…1fa3backed Yes	59c	84.09$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.09	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+68.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7597…5f01backed No	36c	81.06$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.11	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.7wins	+0.41per pick	48cpaid	+92.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Yes	51c	78.42$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-4.3wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Yes	67c	74.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.7	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9429…cc9fbacked Yes	67c	74.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…d5cabacked Yes	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	72cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3a…4180backed Yes	49c	69.27$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c4b…fcaebacked No	30c	66.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.32per pick	40cpaid	+81.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d13backed Yes	78c	64.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb853…418cbacked Yes	75c	61.13$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.38	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed7…ef6dbacked No	52c	59.34$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No	30c	58.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.68	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dce…4682backed Yes	66c	58$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb83…77eebacked Yes	69c	57.81$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36a3…2e00backed Yes	72c	55.51$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.54	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145d…98edbacked Yes	76c	52.99$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	77cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Yes	69c	50.72$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.72	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed Yes	66c	50.45$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-62%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a1…3c87backed Yes	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed No	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	37cpaid	+70.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed Yes	77c	49.99$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+2.5wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+46%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9d…460dbacked Yes	68c	49.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24af…17ddbacked Yes	51c	47.32$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked No	38c	46.89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+4.9wins	+0.38per pick	47cpaid	+85.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed No	32c	45.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…78d0backed Yes	68c	45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaae…6cafbacked Yes	67c	44.78$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.78	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…641bbacked No	46c	43.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf86…04e3backed Yes	70c	42.86$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event