TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe350…c0c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.35
Will 7+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.3
Will 6+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.32
Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the announcers say "Back of the net" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.26
Will the announcers say "Presence" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$187.6
Will the announcers say "Unbelievable" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$37
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.19
Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+233.6%+$175.06
All 18 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+49.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+204.2%+$326.92
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.31
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.27
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$186.04
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$297.64
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+236.8%+$563.61
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+275.4%+$1,493.33
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.28
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$256.1
Gwangju: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.72
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+169.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$377.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$35.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Picture" or "Photo" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+91%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.4%+$19.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$14.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.