CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8343dc23a88e9183469b6082dd858a052aff863d2d39d713770250ebb5dd4f0

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Astralisof Heroic, Astralis
Resolved: Mar 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $583,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $715,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,353 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Astralis	58c	150,000$87,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,999.96	392	49%192 W · 200 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis	58c	113,918$66,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,866.27	424	40.3%171 W · 253 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Heroic	42c	100,000$42,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,000	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Heroic	42c	88,200$37,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,123.23	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Heroic	42c	10,000$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199.97	228	49.6%113 W · 115 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Heroic	42c	9,634$4,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,046.29	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis	57c	9,265$5,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,938.85	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Astralis	59c	8,419$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,418.69	257	51.8%133 W · 124 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Heroic	42c	8,138$3,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,418.1	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic	21c	7,396$1,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,567.1	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Heroic	42c	7,244$3,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,055.34	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis	77c	6,641$5,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,521.07	194	55.2%107 W · 87 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Heroic	15c	6,453$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.16	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Astralis	71c	6,000$4,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Heroic	42c	5,963$2,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.12	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Heroic	41c	5,555$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.76	97	39.2%38 W · 59 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Heroic	42c	4,980$2,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,091.62	754	50.5%381 W · 373 L	+17.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Heroic	41c	4,689$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,934.82	221	42.5%94 W · 127 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Heroic	45c	4,433$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-5.2wins	-0.24per pick	65cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Heroic	42c	4,300$1,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,809	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Heroic	16c	4,026$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.16	163	43.6%71 W · 92 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Astralis	58c	4,000$2,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	285	38.2%109 W · 176 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Heroic	42c	4,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…bdf6backed Heroic	42c	3,923$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,647.66	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Astralis	57c	3,388$1,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,456.82	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Heroic	42c	3,300$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386	849	58.3%495 W · 354 L	+60.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Heroic	25c	3,262$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Heroic	23c	3,210$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.36	421	42%177 W · 244 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0226…0645backed Heroic	1c	3,140$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Heroic	19c	3,058$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.44	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic	42c	3,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Astralis	57c	3,000$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290	716	45.9%329 W · 387 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Heroic	42c	2,974$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.3	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Astralis	63c	2,736$1,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.67	449	57.5%258 W · 191 L	-19.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Heroic	41c	2,600$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.99	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed Astralis	58c	2,565$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.15	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419f…2da0backed Heroic	42c	2,547$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.74	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab56…74c3backed Heroic	17c	2,412$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Astralis	55c	2,411$1,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.36	198	34.8%69 W · 129 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f99…f4d5backed Heroic	42c	2,381$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Heroic	40c	2,298$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.02	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic	43c	1,983$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.65	844	54.3%458 W · 386 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic	41c	1,817$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.5	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e43…e7cebacked Astralis	76c	1,759$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.04	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Heroic	42c	1,750$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	290	46.9%136 W · 154 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2838…e27fbacked Heroic	43c	1,695$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.85	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Heroic	42c	1,686$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Astralis	59c	1,679$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.49	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Astralis	60c	1,671$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.29	163	55.8%91 W · 72 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Heroic	42c	1,648$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692	557	38.4%214 W · 343 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Heroic	7c	1,588$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.76	133	51.1%68 W · 65 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x741e…4358backed Heroic	42c	1,488$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.84	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Astralis	58c	1,410$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.34	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Heroic	44c	1,380$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.8	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Heroic	42c	1,288$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541	275	30.9%85 W · 190 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed Heroic	43c	1,267$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.76	283	44.2%125 W · 158 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Heroic	14c	1,242$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.16	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Heroic	42c	1,190$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.61	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Heroic	41c	1,147$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.18	469	49.7%233 W · 236 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic	31c	1,139$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.6	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Heroic	12c	1,132$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.98	245	50.2%123 W · 122 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Heroic	42c	1,130$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.65	102	48%49 W · 53 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Heroic	32c	1,128$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.96	243	39.5%96 W · 147 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Astralis	59c	1,111$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.51	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Astralis	58c	1,108$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.81	95	65.3%62 W · 33 L	+11.2wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Astralis	59c	1,031$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.67	147	44.2%65 W · 82 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Astralis	58c	1,024$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.14	965	45.7%441 W · 524 L	+10.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Heroic	44c	1,014$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	353	44.8%158 W · 195 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis	57c	999.98$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.99	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic	42c	994.99$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.02	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Heroic	22c	979.2$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.77	1,078	32%345 W · 733 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Heroic	43c	961.23$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.33	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Heroic	42c	940.48$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	77	39%30 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Heroic	21c	925$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.5	303	35.6%108 W · 195 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic	22c	908.62$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.84	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed Astralis	60c	899.99$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.34	242	62%150 W · 92 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Heroic	8c	898$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.16	209	36.4%76 W · 133 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Heroic	42c	890$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.8	608	38.2%232 W · 376 L	+11.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic	18c	885.28$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.7	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Astralis	62c	882.23$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.79	249	39.8%99 W · 150 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4694…60acbacked Heroic	42c	873$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.66	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic	14c	869.83$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.88	1,579	29.7%469 W · 1,110 L	-86.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b1…b9d7backed Heroic	42c	868.19$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.64	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Astralis	58c	862.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.07	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic	42c	800$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	534	44.9%240 W · 294 L	+11.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed Astralis	64c	785.74$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.55	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Heroic	42c	761.9$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Heroic	20c	743$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.6	245	38.4%94 W · 151 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Heroic	41c	699.99$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Astralis	74c	610.46$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.46	608	57.2%348 W · 260 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Astralis	57c	610$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.3	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca9…d946backed Astralis	74c	603.82$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.99	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c6a…168ebacked Astralis	58c	603.45$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Heroic	43c	600$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Astralis	58c	583.8$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.8	70	61.4%43 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Heroic	7c	562.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	183	36.6%67 W · 116 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Astralis	59c	560$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.8	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic	17c	542.26$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.06	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a43…5e84backed Astralis	61c	537$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.98	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis	64c	534.99$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.8	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1this page
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Astralis won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event