CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf755231926fc324409304fc5b32e07e172be961030193e4f753fdc27b1f6f20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Heroic, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 23c | 26,667$6,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,068.06 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Heroic | 18c | 5,852$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.38 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Heroic | 20c | 5,090$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.22 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Heroic | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis | 70c | 4,056$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.72 | 334 | 49.1%164 W · 170 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Heroic | 36c | 4,049$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.64 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 62c | 3,759$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.72 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Astralis | 75c | 3,561$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.33 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 20c | 2,938$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis | 77c | 2,624$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.68 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 65c | 2,336$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Heroic | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,292 | 21.9%283 W · 1,009 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Astralis | 78c | 1,786$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.11 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 24c | 1,607$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.08 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 23c | 1,586$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.61 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Astralis | 64c | 1,558$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.54 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 60c | 1,500$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.5 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Heroic | 24c | 1,497$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.07 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Astralis | 64c | 1,406$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 662 | 50.3%333 W · 329 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic | 41c | 1,378$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.06 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Astralis | 64c | 1,299$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.15 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Astralis | 65c | 1,105$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.72 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 22c | 1,038$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.33 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Astralis | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Astralis | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Heroic | 28c | 850$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 569 | 48.9%278 W · 291 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Heroic | 27c | 845.43$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.67 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Heroic | 13c | 842$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 26c | 833.62$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.56 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Astralis | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Astralis | 64c | 786.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.21 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Heroic | 35c | 747.18$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.51 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Heroic | 24c | 690.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 568 | 32.4%184 W · 384 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Heroic | 42c | 687.37$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.65 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Heroic | 28c | 650$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.93 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Astralis | 71c | 627.98$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Astralis | 67c | 600$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Heroic | 17c | 600$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Heroic | 39c | 572.18$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Heroic | 21c | 535$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 850 | 43.1%366 W · 484 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Astralis | 77c | 522.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Astralis | 64c | 519.25$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.93 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Astralis | 65c | 480$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Astralis | 80c | 474.41$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Heroic | 31c | 461.79$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 36c | 434.66$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Heroic | 37c | 433.86$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed Astralis | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Astralis | 64c | 396.11$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 460 | 58.7%270 W · 190 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic | 26c | 393$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 2,829 | 37.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L | -138.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Heroic | 10c | 387.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Astralis | 65c | 384.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Heroic | 33c | 374.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Heroic | 14c | 360.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…0e63backed Heroic | 8c | 357.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked Heroic | 21c | 352.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Astralis | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 383 | 51.2%196 W · 187 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic | 27c | 343.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 432 | 61.1%264 W · 168 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 37c | 332.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed Astralis | 64c | 332.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.92 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Heroic | 16c | 331.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 459 | 43.6%200 W · 259 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Astralis | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Astralis | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 673 | 62.3%419 W · 254 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Astralis | 71c | 310$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Astralis | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Astralis | 60c | 302.46$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Astralis | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Heroic | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Heroic | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 543 | 45.1%245 W · 298 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 35c | 287.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Astralis | 61c | 282.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 479 | 41.5%199 W · 280 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…f764backed Astralis | 76c | 281.54$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Heroic | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…d235backed Heroic | 37c | 265$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Astralis | 77c | 260.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed Heroic | 27c | 258.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Heroic | 38c | 253.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heroic | 20c | 252$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…7396backed Heroic | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Heroic | 10c | 249.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Heroic | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 628 | 38.2%240 W · 388 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Astralis | 68c | 221.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 611 | 57%348 W · 263 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Astralis | 70c | 208.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Heroic | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Heroic | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Heroic | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Heroic | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 538 | 34.8%187 W · 351 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…2872backed Heroic | 6c | 199.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 63c | 195.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed Heroic | 28c | 180.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Astralis | 66c | 175.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 1,512 | 58.1%878 W · 634 L | +67.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Astralis | 64c | 174.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 433 | 51.5%223 W · 210 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 27c | 169.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Heroic | 9c | 161.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Astralis | 64c | 156.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Astralis | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Astralis | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.