CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccdcc53fd09684675e9be7c48b389d2fe66aa7f566dabaad6858ad616b0a211b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Heroic, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Heroic | 46c | 10,375$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.25 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 55c | 8,730$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.28 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Heroic | 50c | 8,305$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.32 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 49c | 6,892$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.91 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Heroic | 56c | 5,351$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Astralis | 53c | 4,686$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.87 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Heroic | 51c | 4,449$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.39 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Heroic | 47c | 4,090$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.6 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 47c | 3,369$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.03 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 48c | 3,042$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.41 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…6d32backed Heroic | 33c | 2,632$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.92 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Heroic | 30c | 2,606$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.22 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 58c | 2,348$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Heroic | 33c | 2,276$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.82 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Astralis | 55c | 2,037$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.16 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Heroic | 54c | 1,948$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.14 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis | 50c | 1,872$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.84 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Heroic | 55c | 1,832$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.62 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Astralis | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Astralis | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 33c | 1,412$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Heroic | 25c | 1,279$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.2 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Heroic | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Astralis | 56c | 1,248$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.73 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Heroic | 10c | 1,235$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Heroic | 34c | 1,179$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.92 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 18c | 1,113$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Astralis | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Heroic | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic | 49c | 969.35$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.98 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Heroic | 17c | 900$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Astralis | 48c | 900$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 35c | 860.84$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Astralis | 49c | 837.34$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.14 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Heroic | 15c | 762.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Heroic | 53c | 761.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Heroic | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Astralis | 48c | 721.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.74 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Heroic | 30c | 683.33$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Heroic | 28c | 654.12$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Astralis | 48c | 595.09$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.34 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Astralis | 76c | 536.21$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Heroic | 13c | 529.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Heroic | 53c | 529.25$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Heroic | 23c | 525.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 16c | 517.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Astralis | 39c | 516.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Heroic | 20c | 502.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Astralis | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Astralis | 71c | 497.42$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 41c | 493.05$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…0c3bbacked Heroic | 52c | 447.4$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Astralis | 51c | 443.08$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.11 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Heroic | 53c | 426.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Heroic | 24c | 424.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Astralis | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Astralis | 48c | 393.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Heroic | 39c | 375.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…aca1backed Heroic | 58c | 341.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 35c | 325$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Heroic | 33c | 307.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Heroic | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic | 41c | 286.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Heroic | 53c | 283.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic | 49c | 282.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…835abacked Heroic | 53c | 282.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Astralis | 51c | 281.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Heroic | 25c | 280.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Heroic | 51c | 257.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Heroic | 27c | 256.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…2806backed Astralis | 39c | 255.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 37c | 250.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Heroic | 49c | 250$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…d235backed Heroic | 44c | 250$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…2872backed Heroic | 51c | 245.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 35c | 231.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Heroic | 32c | 230.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Heroic | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Heroic | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed Astralis | 49c | 213.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Astralis | 56c | 208$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…0e63backed Heroic | 34c | 206.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Heroic | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…f764backed Astralis | 49c | 203.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 68c | 201$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Heroic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Astralis | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Astralis | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Astralis | 48c | 199.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Heroic | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Astralis | 53c | 190.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Heroic | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 37c | 175$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…0fd6backed Heroic | 35c | 171.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Heroic | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Heroic | 40c | 155$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.