CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1a126d5e37af8f83fd3b5930d689bf0c31efe5bfbf62c6e86e90740b31a0d87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 34c | 1,012$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.21 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Under | 66c | 871.18$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.18 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed Over | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed Over | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed Under | 66c | 305$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 249.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 78c | 203.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 59c | 111.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 27c | 111.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 32c | 92.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 30c | 87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…9ec4backed Over | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Under | 49c | 67.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Over | 51c | 64.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Over | 49c | 31.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 37c | 30.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.