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La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$726,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$877,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $726,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No37c76,323$28,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,461.464,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No34c67,466$22,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,722.1627453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No32c49,999$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,899.829459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes69c37,461$25,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,612.91428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes68c31,106$21,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,056.152365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No31c24,009$7,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,532.88940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Yes58c23,461$13,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,787.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,80018050%90 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No33c19,680$6,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,484.788122.2%18 W · 63 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No32c19,082$6,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,106.134223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x705b…1e47backed Yes70c16,743$11,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,028.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No33c16,100$5,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,238.899729.9%29 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No33c15,358$5,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,068.247338.4%28 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No31c15,005$4,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,651.411355.8%63 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b17…abcdbacked Yes68c14,706$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,705.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc12b…1652backed Yes69c14,384$9,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,459.1366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes72c13,833$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.482556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc248…c014backed Yes70c13,800$9,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No32c13,353$4,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,272.949450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c10,934$4,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.423,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13de…e133backed Yes70c10,282$7,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed No31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.94560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No33c9,571$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,158.355431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No33c8,350$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.349428.7%27 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes68c7,849$5,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.3750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes67c7,500$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,47524547.3%116 W · 129 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No31c7,321$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.0915750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes65c7,115$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.053756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes69c7,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1704562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1705253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes58c6,700$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8144922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No34c6,038$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.1530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes67c5,956$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.6113045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes68c5,860$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.116051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes68c5,288$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.591526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55010536.2%38 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c5,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes63c4,999$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.635052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes67c4,760$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No27c4,586$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.4412050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No33c4,300$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.964348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No32c4,210$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.11175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes68c3,994$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.34850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No32c3,675$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.926431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf370…6041backed Yes68c3,605$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes70c3,446$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.491580%12 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No32c3,200$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.9913046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes68c3,126$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No34c3,077$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.623345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02029545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes54c2,994$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes68c2,957$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.25367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Yes68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf52a…6abebacked Yes68c2,933$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No39c2,864$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.9328447.2%134 W · 150 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed No33c2,621$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes71c2,563$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.272334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Yes61c2,408$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.076100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4635…a60abacked Yes55c2,406$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked Yes67c2,400$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+159.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes69c2,388$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.21894.4%17 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+49.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No32c2,180$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.610248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes70c2,146$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.193764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6327…e181backed Yes53c2,116$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes68c2,097$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No34c2,050$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69715516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Yes69c2,049$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.284100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No39c2,021$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.926544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes69c2,002$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.085964.4%38 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes67c2,000$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6701533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Yes67c2,000$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6553455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes69c1,998$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57af…1a28backed Yes68c1,849$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…025cbacked No32c1,800$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Yes57c1,770$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.84955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No30c1,751$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.328552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes68c1,684$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes67c1,666$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d5…e1e2backed No32c1,666$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.1714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-82%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes71c1,589$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.261662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes72c1,509$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.385653.6%30 W · 26 L-8.1wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No41c1,500$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.994450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes68c1,500$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.74875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2633…1930backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.593669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0805…31c0backed Yes69c1,450$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.321080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes69c1,440$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.32458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb0…c007backed Yes68c1,402$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No10c1,402$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.856250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa455…36bcbacked Yes68c1,365$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes68c1,327$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.12360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes72c1,256$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.23050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Yes70c1,231$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.721369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes51c1,228$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9918749.7%93 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No28c1,196$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0511820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.