La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb1bd2515653f038ed51e05a473a0dad2e5ec94b7f5cb92384f8bb8728cfe70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 11c | 26,317$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.01 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 11c | 11,043$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.77 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 10c | 5,211$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.09 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.63 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 4,099$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.9 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 10c | 3,015$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.47 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 10c | 1,536$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,457$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.41 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 11c | 1,442$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 11c | 1,020$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 799.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 11c | 499.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 11c | 486.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Yes | 12c | 395$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 13c | 382.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…e73ebacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…b289backed Yes | 11c | 217.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 12c | 207.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 11c | 199.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…f492backed Yes | 13c | 199.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 13c | 190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes | 10c | 184.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…325dbacked Yes | 11c | 184.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 12c | 174.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…8864backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 148.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…cd73backed Yes | 12c | 141.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…ba62backed Yes | 12c | 127.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…e173backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dac…14d3backed Yes | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Yes | 13c | 99.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…a130backed Yes | 14c | 84.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will Getafe vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.